Serie B · Thursday, 08 Oct 2026
Nautico Recife
Home
0-2
Full time
Estadio dos Aflitos
Novorizontino
Away
Recommended tip
Draw @ 2.29
Predicted score
1 - 1
Goal expectancy (xG)
1.56 - 1.27
Win probability
Home
36%
Draw
28%
Away
35%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
X
41%
2.29
Double Chance
Home/Draw
65%
1.45
Over / Under 2.5
No tip for this market.
Both Teams To Score
No tip for this market.
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
50%
Over 2.5
50%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
2.83
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Nautico Recife wins
0
Draws
0
Novorizontino wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
33%
Recent form
66%
40%
Attack
73%
40%
Defence
66%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
36%
Win probability
35%
Home and away record
Nautico Recife
last 8 at home
4W
3D
1L
1.88
points a game
1.25
scored a game
0.88
conceded a game
Novorizontino
last 8 away from home
4W
1D
3L
1.63
points a game
1.88
scored a game
1.00
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
10 matches.
| Nautico Recife | Novorizontino | |
|---|---|---|
| 80% 8/10 | Over 1.5 goals | 8/10 80% |
| 40% 4/10 | Over 2.5 goals | 7/10 70% |
| 10% 1/10 | Over 3.5 goals | 3/10 30% |
| 70% 7/10 | Both teams scored | 6/10 60% |
| 20% 2/10 | Kept a clean sheet | 3/10 30% |
| 10% 1/10 | Failed to score | 2/10 20% |
At half time
Nautico Recife
from 10 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
20%
Level
40%
Behind
40%
Novorizontino
from 10 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
60%
Level
40%
Behind
0%
League standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Novorizontino |
37 | 20 | 10 | 7 | +34 | 70 |
| 15 |
Nautico Recife |
37 | 12 | 10 | 15 | -9 | 46 |
Match Preview & Analysis
Nautico Recife face Novorizontino in Serie B. Nautico Recife have won 1, drawn 2 and lost 2 of their last 5 games, scoring 6 and conceding 9 (1 points per game). Novorizontino have won 3, drawn 1 and lost 1 of their last 5 games, scoring 11 and conceding 5 (2 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 50% and Both Teams to Score at 50%.
With evenly matched metrics (36% vs 35%), tactical discipline from both sides favors a tightly fought stalemate (Match Draw (X)). Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 1-1, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 36% win probability for Nautico Recife, a 28% chance of a draw, and a 35% probability for Novorizontino. Our top recommended betting pick is Draw (X).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 1 - 1, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 2.83 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 50%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Thursday, 08 Oct 2026 at 22:30 (East Africa Time) at Estadio dos Aflitos as part of the Serie B.
