Serie A · Friday, 09 Oct 2026
Fluminense
Home
4-0
Full time
Estádio do Maracanã
Coritiba
Away
Recommended tip
Draw @ 2.29
Predicted score
1 - 1
Goal expectancy (xG)
1.54 - 1.2
Win probability
Home
35%
Draw
34%
Away
32%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
X
41%
2.29
Double Chance
Home/Draw
69%
1.36
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
66%
1.42
Both Teams To Score
No BTTS
60%
1.57
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
34%
Over 2.5
40%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
2.74
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Fluminense wins
0
Draws
0
Coritiba wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
60%
Recent form
46%
53%
Attack
60%
60%
Defence
13%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
35%
Win probability
32%
Home and away record
Fluminense
last 8 at home
4W
3D
1L
1.88
points a game
1.25
scored a game
0.88
conceded a game
Coritiba
last 4 away from home
1W
2D
1L
1.25
points a game
1.00
scored a game
2.00
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
10 matches.
| Fluminense | Coritiba | |
|---|---|---|
| 80% 8/10 | Over 1.5 goals | 8/10 80% |
| 60% 6/10 | Over 2.5 goals | 7/10 70% |
| 40% 4/10 | Over 3.5 goals | 4/10 40% |
| 70% 7/10 | Both teams scored | 7/10 70% |
| 30% 3/10 | Kept a clean sheet | 1/10 10% |
| 10% 1/10 | Failed to score | 3/10 30% |
At half time
Fluminense
from 10 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
20%
Level
60%
Behind
20%
Coritiba
from 10 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
20%
Level
40%
Behind
40%
League standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 |
Fluminense |
34 | 16 | 9 | 9 | +13 | 57 |
| 12 |
Coritiba |
34 | 11 | 9 | 14 | -11 | 42 |
Match Preview & Analysis
Fluminense face Coritiba in Serie A. Fluminense have won 3, drawn 0 and lost 2 of their last 5 games, scoring 8 and conceding 6 (1.8 points per game). Coritiba have won 2, drawn 1 and lost 2 of their last 5 games, scoring 9 and conceding 13 (1.4 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 34% and Both Teams to Score at 40%.
With evenly matched metrics (35% vs 32%), tactical discipline from both sides favors a tightly fought stalemate (Match Draw (X)). Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 1-1, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 35% win probability for Fluminense, a 34% chance of a draw, and a 32% probability for Coritiba. Our top recommended betting pick is Draw (X).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 1 - 1, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 2.74 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 40%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Friday, 09 Oct 2026 at 00:30 (East Africa Time) at Estádio do Maracanã as part of the Serie A.
