Serie A · Friday, 09 Oct 2026
Fluminense
Home
00:30
d ::
Estádio do Maracanã
Coritiba
Away
Recommended tip
Draw @ 2.29
Predicted score
1 - 1
Goal expectancy (xG)
1.54 - 1.2
Win probability
Home
35%
Draw
34%
Away
32%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
X
41%
2.29
Double Chance
Home/Draw
69%
1.36
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
66%
1.42
Both Teams To Score
No BTTS
60%
1.57
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
34%
Over 2.5
40%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
2.74
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Fluminense wins
0
Draws
0
Coritiba wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
60%
Recent form
53%
53%
Attack
60%
60%
Defence
46%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
35%
Win probability
32%
Team news
Fluminense
- G. Cano · Hamstring Injury
- Nonato · Yellow Cards
- A. Canobbio · Yellow Cards
- Matheus Reis · Knee Injury
- Alisson · Hip Injury
- Ignacio · Hamstring Injury
- John Kennedy · Knee Injury
- Guga · Inactive
Coritiba
- Tinga · Muscle Injury
- Jacy · Inactive
- Keno · Knee Injury
- Joao Pedro Chermont · Inactive
- Lucas Ronier · Knee Injury
- B. Ocampo · Ankle Injury
- Breno Lopes · Red Card
- Tiago Coser · Yellow Cards
Absences as last reported. Line-ups are confirmed about an hour before kick-off.
League standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Flu Fluminense | 28 | 13 | 9 | 6 | +8 | 48 |
| 9 | Cor Coritiba | 28 | 10 | 8 | 10 | -6 | 38 |
Match Preview & Analysis
Fluminense face Coritiba in Serie A. Fluminense have won 3, drawn 0 and lost 2 of their last 5 games, scoring 8 and conceding 6 (1.8 points per game). Coritiba have won 2, drawn 2 and lost 1 of their last 5 games, scoring 9 and conceding 8 (1.6 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 34% and Both Teams to Score at 40%.
With evenly matched metrics (35% vs 32%), tactical discipline from both sides favors a tightly fought stalemate (Match Draw (X)). Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 1-1, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 35% win probability for Fluminense, a 34% chance of a draw, and a 32% probability for Coritiba. Our top recommended betting pick is Draw (X).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 1 - 1, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 2.74 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 40%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Friday, 09 Oct 2026 at 00:30 (East Africa Time) at Estádio do Maracanã as part of the Serie A.
