Liga de Expansión MX · Friday, 09 Oct 2026
Alebrijes de Oaxaca
Home
2-1
Full time
Venue TBC
Correcaminos Uat
Away
Recommended tip
Away Win @ 1.74
Predicted score
1 - 1
Goal expectancy (xG)
1.2 - 1.75
Win probability
Home
21%
Draw
22%
Away
57%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
2
54%
1.74
Double Chance
Draw/Away
78%
1.21
Over / Under 2.5
No tip for this market.
Both Teams To Score
No tip for this market.
Over 1.5 Goals
Over 1.5
69%
1.36
Goals & trends
50%
Over 2.5
50%
BTTS
69%
Over 1.5
2.95
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Alebrijes de Oaxaca wins
0
Draws
0
Correcaminos Uat wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
26%
Recent form
20%
20%
Attack
26%
20%
Defence
40%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
21%
Win probability
57%
Home and away record
Alebrijes de Oaxaca
last 4 at home
2W
1D
1L
1.75
points a game
0.75
scored a game
0.75
conceded a game
Correcaminos Uat
last 5 away from home
2W
1D
2L
1.40
points a game
2.20
scored a game
2.40
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
10 matches.
| Alebrijes de Oaxaca | Correcaminos Uat | |
|---|---|---|
| 80% 8/10 | Over 1.5 goals | 8/10 80% |
| 50% 5/10 | Over 2.5 goals | 8/10 80% |
| 20% 2/10 | Over 3.5 goals | 8/10 80% |
| 30% 3/10 | Both teams scored | 8/10 80% |
| 30% 3/10 | Kept a clean sheet | 2/10 20% |
| 40% 4/10 | Failed to score | 2/10 20% |
At half time
Alebrijes de Oaxaca
from 10 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
10%
Level
50%
Behind
40%
Correcaminos Uat
from 10 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
30%
Level
50%
Behind
20%
League standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 |
Correcaminos Uat |
10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | +1 | 15 |
| 14 |
Alebrijes de Oaxaca |
10 | 3 | 1 | 6 | -10 | 10 |
Match Preview & Analysis
Alebrijes de Oaxaca face Correcaminos Uat in Liga de Expansión MX. Alebrijes de Oaxaca have won 1, drawn 1 and lost 3 of their last 5 games, scoring 3 and conceding 12 (0.8 points per game). Correcaminos Uat have won 0, drawn 3 and lost 2 of their last 5 games, scoring 4 and conceding 9 (0.6 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 50% and Both Teams to Score at 50%.
Correcaminos Uat's counter-attacking efficiency awards them a 57% win probability, presenting genuine betting value for Correcaminos Uat to Win (2). Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 1-1, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 21% win probability for Alebrijes de Oaxaca, a 22% chance of a draw, and a 57% probability for Correcaminos Uat. Our top recommended betting pick is Correcaminos Uat Win (2).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 1 - 1, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 2.95 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 50%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Friday, 09 Oct 2026 at 01:00 (East Africa Time) at home stadium as part of the Liga de Expansión MX.
