Liga 3 · Friday, 09 Oct 2026
Merani Tbilisi
Home
2-2
Full time
Venue TBC
Iveria Khashuri
Away
Recommended tip
Home Win @ 1.54
Predicted score
2 - 0
Goal expectancy (xG)
2.38 - 0.74
Win probability
Home
70%
Draw
19%
Away
11%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
1
61%
1.54
Double Chance
No tip for this market.
Over / Under 2.5
No tip for this market.
Both Teams To Score
No tip for this market.
Over 1.5 Goals
Over 1.5
67%
1.40
Goals & trends
50%
Over 2.5
50%
BTTS
67%
Over 1.5
3.12
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Merani Tbilisi wins
0
Draws
0
Iveria Khashuri wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
86%
Recent form
20%
93%
Attack
53%
73%
Defence
5%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
70%
Win probability
11%
Home and away record
Merani Tbilisi
last 5 at home
2W
2D
1L
1.60
points a game
2.20
scored a game
2.00
conceded a game
Iveria Khashuri
last 3 away from home
0W
2D
1L
0.67
points a game
1.00
scored a game
2.67
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
10 matches.
| Merani Tbilisi | Iveria Khashuri | |
|---|---|---|
| 100% 9/9 | Over 1.5 goals | 8/10 80% |
| 67% 6/9 | Over 2.5 goals | 7/10 70% |
| 67% 6/9 | Over 3.5 goals | 7/10 70% |
| 67% 6/9 | Both teams scored | 7/10 70% |
| 22% 2/9 | Kept a clean sheet | 1/10 10% |
| 11% 1/9 | Failed to score | 3/10 30% |
At half time
Merani Tbilisi
from 9 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
33%
Level
44%
Behind
22%
Iveria Khashuri
from 10 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
10%
Level
30%
Behind
60%
League standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 |
Merani Tbilisi |
25 | 12 | 7 | 6 | +7 | 43 |
| 13 |
Iveria Khashuri |
25 | 3 | 11 | 11 | -14 | 20 |
Match Preview & Analysis
Merani Tbilisi face Iveria Khashuri in Liga 3. Merani Tbilisi have won 4, drawn 1 and lost 0 of their last 5 games, scoring 14 and conceding 4 (2.6 points per game). Iveria Khashuri have won 0, drawn 3 and lost 2 of their last 5 games, scoring 8 and conceding 16 (0.6 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 50% and Both Teams to Score at 50%.
With a 70% probability backing Merani Tbilisi, home advantage and superior chance creation make Merani Tbilisi to Win (1) the primary recommendation. Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 2-0, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 70% win probability for Merani Tbilisi, a 19% chance of a draw, and a 11% probability for Iveria Khashuri. Our top recommended betting pick is Merani Tbilisi Win (1).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 2 - 0, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 3.12 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 50%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Friday, 09 Oct 2026 at 11:00 (East Africa Time) at home stadium as part of the Liga 3.
