1. Lig · Friday, 09 Oct 2026
Ümraniyespor
Home
1-1
Full time
Ümraniye Belediyesi Sehir Stadi
Sarıyer
Away
Recommended tip
Away Win @ 1.96
Predicted score
1 - 1
Goal expectancy (xG)
1.28 - 1.51
Win probability
Home
24%
Draw
30%
Away
46%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
2
48%
1.96
Double Chance
Draw/Away
75%
1.25
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
62%
1.52
Both Teams To Score
No tip for this market.
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
38%
Over 2.5
50%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
2.79
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Ümraniyespor wins
0
Draws
0
Sarıyer wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
26%
Recent form
66%
26%
Attack
46%
60%
Defence
60%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
24%
Win probability
46%
Home and away record
Ümraniyespor
last 5 at home
0W
2D
3L
0.40
points a game
0.60
scored a game
1.80
conceded a game
Sarıyer
last 3 away from home
1W
1D
1L
1.33
points a game
1.00
scored a game
1.67
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
9 matches.
| Ümraniyespor | Sarıyer | |
|---|---|---|
| 56% 5/9 | Over 1.5 goals | 8/8 100% |
| 44% 4/9 | Over 2.5 goals | 4/8 50% |
| 22% 2/9 | Over 3.5 goals | 0/8 0% |
| 56% 5/9 | Both teams scored | 5/8 63% |
| 22% 2/9 | Kept a clean sheet | 2/8 25% |
| 33% 3/9 | Failed to score | 1/8 13% |
At half time
Ümraniyespor
from 9 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
22%
Level
44%
Behind
33%
Sarıyer
from 8 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
38%
Level
25%
Behind
38%
League standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 |
Sarıyer |
11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | -1 | 16 |
| 15 |
Ümraniyespor |
10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | -1 | 10 |
Match Preview & Analysis
Ümraniyespor face Sarıyer in 1. Lig. Ümraniyespor have won 1, drawn 1 and lost 3 of their last 5 games, scoring 4 and conceding 6 (0.8 points per game). Sarıyer have won 3, drawn 1 and lost 1 of their last 5 games, scoring 7 and conceding 6 (2 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 38% and Both Teams to Score at 50%.
Sarıyer's counter-attacking efficiency awards them a 46% win probability, presenting genuine betting value for Sarıyer to Win (2). Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 1-1, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 24% win probability for Ümraniyespor, a 30% chance of a draw, and a 46% probability for Sarıyer. Our top recommended betting pick is Sarıyer Win (2).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 1 - 1, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 2.79 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 50%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Friday, 09 Oct 2026 at 20:00 (East Africa Time) at Ümraniye Belediyesi Sehir Stadi as part of the 1. Lig.
