Eerste Divisie · Friday, 09 Oct 2026
De Graafschap
Home
2-1
Full time
De Vijverberg
Jong Utrecht
Away
Recommended tip
Away Win @ 1.77
Predicted score
1 - 1
Goal expectancy (xG)
1.37 - 1.73
Win probability
Home
28%
Draw
15%
Away
56%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
2
53%
1.77
Double Chance
Home/Away
82%
1.15
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
76%
1.24
Both Teams To Score
BTTS
72%
1.31
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
76%
Over 2.5
72%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
3.1
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
De Graafschap wins
0
Draws
0
Jong Utrecht wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
26%
Recent form
46%
40%
Attack
73%
6%
Defence
46%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
28%
Win probability
56%
Home and away record
De Graafschap
last 7 at home
1W
0D
6L
0.43
points a game
1.86
scored a game
3.71
conceded a game
Jong Utrecht
last 5 away from home
1W
0D
4L
0.60
points a game
1.40
scored a game
2.60
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
10 matches.
| De Graafschap | Jong Utrecht | |
|---|---|---|
| 100% 10/10 | Over 1.5 goals | 9/10 90% |
| 90% 9/10 | Over 2.5 goals | 9/10 90% |
| 60% 6/10 | Over 3.5 goals | 6/10 60% |
| 90% 9/10 | Both teams scored | 9/10 90% |
| 0% 0/10 | Kept a clean sheet | 1/10 10% |
| 10% 1/10 | Failed to score | 1/10 10% |
At half time
De Graafschap
from 10 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
10%
Level
40%
Behind
50%
Jong Utrecht
from 10 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
10%
Level
40%
Behind
50%
League standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
De Graafschap |
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 |
Jong Utrecht |
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Match Preview & Analysis
De Graafschap face Jong Utrecht in Eerste Divisie. De Graafschap have won 1, drawn 1 and lost 3 of their last 5 games, scoring 6 and conceding 14 (0.8 points per game). Jong Utrecht have won 2, drawn 1 and lost 2 of their last 5 games, scoring 11 and conceding 8 (1.4 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 76% and Both Teams to Score at 72%.
Jong Utrecht's counter-attacking efficiency awards them a 56% win probability, presenting genuine betting value for Jong Utrecht to Win (2). Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 1-1, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 28% win probability for De Graafschap, a 15% chance of a draw, and a 56% probability for Jong Utrecht. Our top recommended betting pick is Jong Utrecht Win (2).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 1 - 1, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 3.1 goals across both sides.
Yes. Both Teams To Score (BTTS / GG) is favored with a 72% likelihood based on recent scoring form and defensive concession rates.
The match takes place on Friday, 09 Oct 2026 at 18:00 (East Africa Time) at De Vijverberg as part of the Eerste Divisie.
