Eerste Divisie · Friday, 09 Oct 2026
Jong Ajax
Home
0-3
Full time
Sportpark De Toekomst
VVV Venlo
Away
Recommended tip
Away Win @ 1.47
Predicted score
1 - 2
Goal expectancy (xG)
0.96 - 2.15
Win probability
Home
11%
Draw
11%
Away
75%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
2
64%
1.47
Double Chance
No tip for this market.
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
74%
1.27
Both Teams To Score
BTTS
67%
1.40
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
74%
Over 2.5
67%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
3.11
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Jong Ajax wins
0
Draws
0
VVV Venlo wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
33%
Recent form
80%
20%
Attack
93%
40%
Defence
60%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
11%
Win probability
75%
Home and away record
Jong Ajax
last 4 at home
1W
1D
2L
1.00
points a game
1.75
scored a game
2.50
conceded a game
VVV Venlo
last 5 away from home
2W
1D
2L
1.40
points a game
2.40
scored a game
2.40
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
10 matches.
| Jong Ajax | VVV Venlo | |
|---|---|---|
| 80% 8/10 | Over 1.5 goals | 9/10 90% |
| 60% 6/10 | Over 2.5 goals | 7/10 70% |
| 40% 4/10 | Over 3.5 goals | 6/10 60% |
| 60% 6/10 | Both teams scored | 6/10 60% |
| 20% 2/10 | Kept a clean sheet | 3/10 30% |
| 30% 3/10 | Failed to score | 1/10 10% |
At half time
Jong Ajax
from 10 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
20%
Level
50%
Behind
30%
VVV Venlo
from 10 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
50%
Level
10%
Behind
40%
Match Preview & Analysis
Jong Ajax face VVV Venlo in Eerste Divisie. Jong Ajax have won 1, drawn 2 and lost 2 of their last 5 games, scoring 3 and conceding 9 (1 points per game). VVV Venlo have won 4, drawn 0 and lost 1 of their last 5 games, scoring 14 and conceding 6 (2.4 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 74% and Both Teams to Score at 67%.
VVV Venlo's counter-attacking efficiency awards them a 75% win probability, presenting genuine betting value for VVV Venlo to Win (2). Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 1-2, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 11% win probability for Jong Ajax, a 11% chance of a draw, and a 75% probability for VVV Venlo. Our top recommended betting pick is VVV Venlo Win (2).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 1 - 2, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 3.11 goals across both sides.
Yes. Both Teams To Score (BTTS / GG) is favored with a 67% likelihood based on recent scoring form and defensive concession rates.
The match takes place on Friday, 09 Oct 2026 at 18:00 (East Africa Time) at Sportpark De Toekomst as part of the Eerste Divisie.
