Eerste Divisie · Friday, 09 Oct 2026
Jong AZ
Home
0-1
Full time
AFAS Trainingscomplex
Den Bosch
Away
Recommended tip
Home Win @ 1.54
Predicted score
2 - 0
Goal expectancy (xG)
2.38 - 0.83
Win probability
Home
70%
Draw
11%
Away
15%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
1
61%
1.54
Double Chance
No tip for this market.
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
75%
1.25
Both Teams To Score
BTTS
70%
1.34
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
75%
Over 2.5
70%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
3.21
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Jong AZ wins
0
Draws
0
Den Bosch wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
66%
Recent form
26%
95%
Attack
33%
40%
Defence
26%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
70%
Win probability
15%
Home and away record
Jong AZ
last 6 at home
4W
0D
2L
2.00
points a game
2.17
scored a game
1.00
conceded a game
Den Bosch
last 4 away from home
0W
1D
3L
0.25
points a game
0.75
scored a game
2.00
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
10 matches.
| Jong AZ | Den Bosch | |
|---|---|---|
| 90% 9/10 | Over 1.5 goals | 10/10 100% |
| 80% 8/10 | Over 2.5 goals | 6/10 60% |
| 60% 6/10 | Over 3.5 goals | 4/10 40% |
| 90% 9/10 | Both teams scored | 8/10 80% |
| 0% 0/10 | Kept a clean sheet | 1/10 10% |
| 10% 1/10 | Failed to score | 1/10 10% |
At half time
Jong AZ
from 10 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
40%
Level
40%
Behind
20%
Den Bosch
from 10 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
30%
Level
50%
Behind
20%
Match Preview & Analysis
Jong AZ face Den Bosch in Eerste Divisie. Jong AZ have won 3, drawn 1 and lost 1 of their last 5 games, scoring 15 and conceding 9 (2 points per game). Den Bosch have won 1, drawn 1 and lost 3 of their last 5 games, scoring 5 and conceding 11 (0.8 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 75% and Both Teams to Score at 70%.
With a 70% probability backing Jong AZ, home advantage and superior chance creation make Jong AZ to Win (1) the primary recommendation. Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 2-0, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 70% win probability for Jong AZ, a 11% chance of a draw, and a 15% probability for Den Bosch. Our top recommended betting pick is Jong AZ Win (1).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 2 - 0, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 3.21 goals across both sides.
Yes. Both Teams To Score (BTTS / GG) is favored with a 70% likelihood based on recent scoring form and defensive concession rates.
The match takes place on Friday, 09 Oct 2026 at 18:00 (East Africa Time) at AFAS Trainingscomplex as part of the Eerste Divisie.
