Eerste Divisie · Friday, 09 Oct 2026
NAC Breda
Home
1-0
Full time
Rat Verlegh Stadion
MVV
Away
Recommended tip
Home Win @ 1.57
Predicted score
2 - 1
Goal expectancy (xG)
2.33 - 0.85
Win probability
Home
68%
Draw
16%
Away
16%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
1
60%
1.57
Double Chance
No tip for this market.
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
68%
1.38
Both Teams To Score
BTTS
61%
1.54
Over 1.5 Goals
Over 1.5
75%
1.25
Goals & trends
68%
Over 2.5
61%
BTTS
75%
Over 1.5
3.18
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
NAC Breda wins
0
Draws
0
MVV wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
33%
Recent form
26%
66%
Attack
33%
20%
Defence
5%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
68%
Win probability
16%
Home and away record
NAC Breda
last 6 at home
2W
0D
4L
1.00
points a game
1.50
scored a game
2.33
conceded a game
MVV
last 8 away from home
2W
2D
4L
1.00
points a game
1.13
scored a game
2.75
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
10 matches.
| NAC Breda | MVV | |
|---|---|---|
| 90% 9/10 | Over 1.5 goals | 9/10 90% |
| 80% 8/10 | Over 2.5 goals | 7/10 70% |
| 60% 6/10 | Over 3.5 goals | 5/10 50% |
| 80% 8/10 | Both teams scored | 7/10 70% |
| 0% 0/10 | Kept a clean sheet | 1/10 10% |
| 20% 2/10 | Failed to score | 2/10 20% |
At half time
NAC Breda
from 10 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
50%
Level
10%
Behind
40%
MVV
from 9 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
33%
Level
56%
Behind
11%
Match Preview & Analysis
NAC Breda face MVV in Eerste Divisie. NAC Breda have won 1, drawn 2 and lost 2 of their last 5 games, scoring 10 and conceding 12 (1 points per game). MVV have won 1, drawn 1 and lost 3 of their last 5 games, scoring 5 and conceding 16 (0.8 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 68% and Both Teams to Score at 61%.
With a 68% probability backing NAC Breda, home advantage and superior chance creation make NAC Breda to Win (1) the primary recommendation. Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 2-1, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 68% win probability for NAC Breda, a 16% chance of a draw, and a 16% probability for MVV. Our top recommended betting pick is NAC Breda Win (1).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 2 - 1, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 3.18 goals across both sides.
Yes. Both Teams To Score (BTTS / GG) is favored with a 61% likelihood based on recent scoring form and defensive concession rates.
The match takes place on Friday, 09 Oct 2026 at 18:00 (East Africa Time) at Rat Verlegh Stadion as part of the Eerste Divisie.
