Pro League · Friday, 09 Oct 2026
Al-Nassr
Home
3-0
Full time
Al-Awwal Park
Al Diriyah
Away
Recommended tip
Home Win @ 1.49
Predicted score
2 - 0
Goal expectancy (xG)
2.45 - 0.76
Win probability
Home
73%
Draw
15%
Away
12%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
1
63%
1.49
Double Chance
No tip for this market.
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
65%
1.45
Both Teams To Score
No tip for this market.
Over 1.5 Goals
Over 1.5
74%
1.27
Goals & trends
65%
Over 2.5
50%
BTTS
74%
Over 1.5
3.21
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
1
Al-Nassr wins
0
Draws
0
Al Diriyah wins
18 Aug 2026
Al Diriyah
1 - 4
Al-Nassr
Why this prediction
46%
Recent form
53%
40%
Attack
40%
40%
Defence
73%
95%
Head-to-head
5%
73%
Win probability
12%
Home and away record
Al-Nassr
last 4 at home
3W
0D
1L
2.25
points a game
1.75
scored a game
1.00
conceded a game
Al Diriyah
last 4 away from home
4W
0D
0L
3.00
points a game
2.50
scored a game
0.50
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
10 matches.
| Al-Nassr | Al Diriyah | |
|---|---|---|
| 100% 10/10 | Over 1.5 goals | 7/10 70% |
| 80% 8/10 | Over 2.5 goals | 4/10 40% |
| 40% 4/10 | Over 3.5 goals | 2/10 20% |
| 60% 6/10 | Both teams scored | 4/10 40% |
| 20% 2/10 | Kept a clean sheet | 4/10 40% |
| 20% 2/10 | Failed to score | 3/10 30% |
At half time
Al-Nassr
from 10 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
40%
Level
20%
Behind
40%
Al Diriyah
from 10 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
40%
Level
40%
Behind
20%
Match Preview & Analysis
Al-Nassr face Al Diriyah in Pro League. Al-Nassr have won 2, drawn 1 and lost 2 of their last 5 games, scoring 6 and conceding 9 (1.4 points per game). Al Diriyah have won 2, drawn 2 and lost 1 of their last 5 games, scoring 6 and conceding 4 (1.6 points per game).
In their last 1 meeting on record, Al-Nassr won 1, Al Diriyah won 0 and 0 ended level. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 65% and Both Teams to Score at 50%.
With a 73% probability backing Al-Nassr, home advantage and superior chance creation make Al-Nassr to Win (1) the primary recommendation. Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 2-0, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 73% win probability for Al-Nassr, a 15% chance of a draw, and a 12% probability for Al Diriyah. Our top recommended betting pick is Al-Nassr Win (1).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 2 - 0, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 3.21 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 50%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Friday, 09 Oct 2026 at 18:00 (East Africa Time) at Al-Awwal Park as part of the Pro League.
