FAW Championship · Friday, 09 Oct 2026
Caerphilly Athletic
Home
18:45
d ::
Venue TBC
Newport City
Away
Recommended tip
Away Win @ 1.74
Predicted score
1 - 1
Goal expectancy (xG)
1.08 - 1.78
Win probability
Home
16%
Draw
27%
Away
58%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
2
54%
1.74
Double Chance
Draw/Away
83%
1.13
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
1.54
Both Teams To Score
No BTTS
59%
1.59
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
39%
Over 2.5
41%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
2.86
Avg goals
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Tap, hit send and the bot replies in seconds with the Caerphilly Athletic v Newport City pick. One VIP pick a week is free.
Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Caerphilly Athletic wins
0
Draws
0
Newport City wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
26%
Recent form
46%
46%
Attack
66%
20%
Defence
66%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
16%
Win probability
58%
League standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | New Newport City | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | +4 | 8 |
| 14 | Cae Caerphilly Athletic | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | -8 | 8 |
Match Preview & Analysis
Caerphilly Athletic face Newport City in FAW Championship. Caerphilly Athletic have won 1, drawn 1 and lost 3 of their last 5 games, scoring 7 and conceding 12 (0.8 points per game). Newport City have won 2, drawn 1 and lost 2 of their last 5 games, scoring 10 and conceding 5 (1.4 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 39% and Both Teams to Score at 41%.
Newport City's counter-attacking efficiency awards them a 58% win probability, presenting genuine betting value for Newport City to Win (2). Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 1-1, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 16% win probability for Caerphilly Athletic, a 27% chance of a draw, and a 58% probability for Newport City. Our top recommended betting pick is Newport City Win (2).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 1 - 1, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 2.86 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 41%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Friday, 09 Oct 2026 at 18:45 (East Africa Time) at home stadium as part of the FAW Championship.
