Liga de Expansión MX · Friday, 09 Oct 2026
Tapatío
Home
2-4
Full time
Estadio Akron
CA La Paz
Away
Recommended tip
Away Win @ 1.81
Predicted score
1 - 1
Goal expectancy (xG)
1.35 - 1.69
Win probability
Home
27%
Draw
19%
Away
54%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
2
52%
1.81
Double Chance
Home/Away
80%
1.18
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
67%
1.40
Both Teams To Score
BTTS
64%
1.47
Over 1.5 Goals
Over 1.5
75%
1.25
Goals & trends
67%
Over 2.5
64%
BTTS
75%
Over 1.5
3.04
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Tapatío wins
0
Draws
0
CA La Paz wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
26%
Recent form
66%
46%
Attack
73%
46%
Defence
60%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
27%
Win probability
54%
Home and away record
Tapatío
last 5 at home
3W
1D
1L
2.00
points a game
2.00
scored a game
1.00
conceded a game
CA La Paz
last 5 away from home
2W
2D
1L
1.60
points a game
2.60
scored a game
1.80
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
10 matches.
| Tapatío | CA La Paz | |
|---|---|---|
| 70% 7/10 | Over 1.5 goals | 9/10 90% |
| 60% 6/10 | Over 2.5 goals | 7/10 70% |
| 60% 6/10 | Over 3.5 goals | 4/10 40% |
| 60% 6/10 | Both teams scored | 6/10 60% |
| 30% 3/10 | Kept a clean sheet | 3/10 30% |
| 20% 2/10 | Failed to score | 1/10 10% |
At half time
Tapatío
from 10 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
30%
Level
40%
Behind
30%
CA La Paz
from 10 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
50%
Level
30%
Behind
20%
Match Preview & Analysis
Tapatío face CA La Paz in Liga de Expansión MX. Tapatío have won 1, drawn 1 and lost 3 of their last 5 games, scoring 7 and conceding 8 (0.8 points per game). CA La Paz have won 3, drawn 1 and lost 1 of their last 5 games, scoring 11 and conceding 6 (2 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 67% and Both Teams to Score at 64%.
CA La Paz's counter-attacking efficiency awards them a 54% win probability, presenting genuine betting value for CA La Paz to Win (2). Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 1-1, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 27% win probability for Tapatío, a 19% chance of a draw, and a 54% probability for CA La Paz. Our top recommended betting pick is CA La Paz Win (2).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 1 - 1, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 3.04 goals across both sides.
Yes. Both Teams To Score (BTTS / GG) is favored with a 64% likelihood based on recent scoring form and defensive concession rates.
The match takes place on Friday, 09 Oct 2026 at 23:00 (East Africa Time) at Estadio Akron as part of the Liga de Expansión MX.
