USL Championship · Friday, 09 Oct 2026
Lexington
Home
0-0
Full time
Lexington SC Stadium
FC Tulsa
Away
Recommended tip
Home Win @ 1.77
Predicted score
2 - 1
Goal expectancy (xG)
2.02 - 0.96
Win probability
Home
55%
Draw
24%
Away
21%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
1
53%
1.77
Double Chance
Home/Draw
78%
1.21
Over / Under 2.5
No tip for this market.
Both Teams To Score
No tip for this market.
Over 1.5 Goals
Over 1.5
67%
1.40
Goals & trends
50%
Over 2.5
50%
BTTS
67%
Over 1.5
2.98
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Lexington wins
1
Draws
0
FC Tulsa wins
26 Jul 2026
FC Tulsa
0 - 0
Lexington
Why this prediction
60%
Recent form
40%
95%
Attack
33%
60%
Defence
66%
5%
Head-to-head
5%
55%
Win probability
21%
Home and away record
Lexington
last 8 at home
6W
0D
2L
2.25
points a game
2.25
scored a game
1.00
conceded a game
FC Tulsa
last 7 away from home
2W
2D
3L
1.14
points a game
1.43
scored a game
1.29
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
10 matches.
| Lexington | FC Tulsa | |
|---|---|---|
| 70% 7/10 | Over 1.5 goals | 4/10 40% |
| 60% 6/10 | Over 2.5 goals | 3/10 30% |
| 50% 5/10 | Over 3.5 goals | 2/10 20% |
| 50% 5/10 | Both teams scored | 4/10 40% |
| 30% 3/10 | Kept a clean sheet | 4/10 40% |
| 20% 2/10 | Failed to score | 3/10 30% |
At half time
Lexington
from 10 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
20%
Level
70%
Behind
10%
FC Tulsa
from 10 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
50%
Level
40%
Behind
10%
League standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 |
Lexington |
29 | 14 | 5 | 10 | +18 | 47 |
| 6 |
FC Tulsa |
29 | 11 | 10 | 8 | +5 | 43 |
Match Preview & Analysis
Lexington face FC Tulsa in USL Championship. Lexington have won 3, drawn 0 and lost 2 of their last 5 games, scoring 15 and conceding 6 (1.8 points per game). FC Tulsa have won 1, drawn 3 and lost 1 of their last 5 games, scoring 5 and conceding 5 (1.2 points per game).
In their last 1 meeting on record, Lexington won 0, FC Tulsa won 0 and 1 ended level. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 50% and Both Teams to Score at 50%.
With a 55% probability backing Lexington, home advantage and superior chance creation make Lexington to Win (1) the primary recommendation. Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 2-1, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 55% win probability for Lexington, a 24% chance of a draw, and a 21% probability for FC Tulsa. Our top recommended betting pick is Lexington Win (1).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 2 - 1, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 2.98 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 50%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Friday, 09 Oct 2026 at 23:30 (East Africa Time) at Lexington SC Stadium as part of the USL Championship.
