USL Championship · Friday, 09 Oct 2026
Lexington
Home
23:30
d ::
Toyota Stadium
FC Tulsa
Away
Recommended tip
Home Win @ 1.77
Predicted score
2 - 1
Goal expectancy (xG)
2.02 - 0.96
Win probability
Home
55%
Draw
24%
Away
21%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
1
53%
1.77
Double Chance
Home/Draw
78%
1.21
Over / Under 2.5
No tip for this market.
Both Teams To Score
No tip for this market.
Over 1.5 Goals
Over 1.5
67%
1.40
Goals & trends
50%
Over 2.5
50%
BTTS
67%
Over 1.5
2.98
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Lexington wins
0
Draws
0
FC Tulsa wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
80%
Recent form
53%
95%
Attack
53%
80%
Defence
73%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
55%
Win probability
21%
League standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Lex Lexington | 27 | 13 | 4 | 10 | +16 | 43 |
| 5 | FC FC Tulsa | 27 | 11 | 9 | 7 | +7 | 42 |
Match Preview & Analysis
Lexington face FC Tulsa in USL Championship. Lexington have won 4, drawn 0 and lost 1 of their last 5 games, scoring 15 and conceding 3 (2.4 points per game). FC Tulsa have won 2, drawn 2 and lost 1 of their last 5 games, scoring 8 and conceding 4 (1.6 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 50% and Both Teams to Score at 50%.
With a 55% probability backing Lexington, home advantage and superior chance creation make Lexington to Win (1) the primary recommendation. Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 2-1, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 55% win probability for Lexington, a 24% chance of a draw, and a 21% probability for FC Tulsa. Our top recommended betting pick is Lexington Win (1).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 2 - 1, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 2.98 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 50%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Friday, 09 Oct 2026 at 23:30 (East Africa Time) at Toyota Stadium as part of the USL Championship.
