Primera Division · Saturday, 10 Oct 2026
Inca Aruba
Home
1-4
Full time
Venue TBC
Platense
Away
Recommended tip
Home Win @ 1.62
Predicted score
2 - 0
Goal expectancy (xG)
2.26 - 0.76
Win probability
Home
65%
Draw
23%
Away
12%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
1
58%
1.62
Double Chance
No tip for this market.
Over / Under 2.5
No tip for this market.
Both Teams To Score
No BTTS
59%
1.59
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
50%
Over 2.5
41%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
3.02
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Inca Aruba wins
0
Draws
1
Platense wins
09 Aug 2026
Platense
2 - 0
Inca Aruba
Why this prediction
66%
Recent form
46%
46%
Attack
40%
60%
Defence
60%
5%
Head-to-head
95%
65%
Win probability
12%
Home and away record
Inca Aruba
last 6 at home
3W
2D
1L
1.83
points a game
1.00
scored a game
1.17
conceded a game
Platense
last 8 away from home
1W
1D
6L
0.50
points a game
0.88
scored a game
1.75
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
10 matches.
| Inca Aruba | Platense | |
|---|---|---|
| 70% 7/10 | Over 1.5 goals | 7/10 70% |
| 40% 4/10 | Over 2.5 goals | 7/10 70% |
| 20% 2/10 | Over 3.5 goals | 2/10 20% |
| 60% 6/10 | Both teams scored | 7/10 70% |
| 30% 3/10 | Kept a clean sheet | 1/10 10% |
| 20% 2/10 | Failed to score | 2/10 20% |
At half time
Inca Aruba
from 10 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
20%
Level
40%
Behind
40%
Platense
from 10 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
30%
Level
50%
Behind
20%
League standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 |
Platense |
19 | 7 | 6 | 6 | +3 | 27 |
| 11 |
Inca Aruba |
19 | 4 | 5 | 10 | -19 | 17 |
Match Preview & Analysis
Inca Aruba face Platense in Primera Division. Inca Aruba have won 3, drawn 1 and lost 1 of their last 5 games, scoring 7 and conceding 6 (2 points per game). Platense have won 2, drawn 1 and lost 2 of their last 5 games, scoring 6 and conceding 6 (1.4 points per game).
In their last 1 meeting on record, Inca Aruba won 0, Platense won 1 and 0 ended level. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 50% and Both Teams to Score at 41%.
With a 65% probability backing Inca Aruba, home advantage and superior chance creation make Inca Aruba to Win (1) the primary recommendation. Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 2-0, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 65% win probability for Inca Aruba, a 23% chance of a draw, and a 12% probability for Platense. Our top recommended betting pick is Inca Aruba Win (1).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 2 - 0, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 3.02 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 41%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Saturday, 10 Oct 2026 at 00:00 (East Africa Time) at home stadium as part of the Primera Division.
