Liga de Expansión MX · Saturday, 10 Oct 2026
Tepatitlán
Home
1-1
Full time
Venue TBC
Monarcas
Away
Recommended tip
Away Win @ 1.29
Predicted score
0 - 2
Goal expectancy (xG)
0.75 - 2.5
Win probability
Home
2%
Draw
5%
Away
91%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
2
73%
1.29
Double Chance
No tip for this market.
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
69%
1.36
Both Teams To Score
No tip for this market.
Over 1.5 Goals
Over 1.5
75%
1.25
Goals & trends
69%
Over 2.5
50%
BTTS
75%
Over 1.5
3.25
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Tepatitlán wins
0
Draws
0
Monarcas wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
20%
Recent form
86%
26%
Attack
60%
5%
Defence
86%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
5%
Win probability
91%
Home and away record
Tepatitlán
last 6 at home
2W
0D
4L
1.00
points a game
1.17
scored a game
2.33
conceded a game
Monarcas
last 4 away from home
3W
0D
1L
2.25
points a game
1.00
scored a game
0.50
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
10 matches.
| Tepatitlán | Monarcas | |
|---|---|---|
| 70% 7/10 | Over 1.5 goals | 7/10 70% |
| 70% 7/10 | Over 2.5 goals | 5/10 50% |
| 70% 7/10 | Over 3.5 goals | 4/10 40% |
| 40% 4/10 | Both teams scored | 6/10 60% |
| 0% 0/10 | Kept a clean sheet | 3/10 30% |
| 60% 6/10 | Failed to score | 1/10 10% |
At half time
Tepatitlán
from 10 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
20%
Level
40%
Behind
40%
Monarcas
from 10 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
50%
Level
30%
Behind
20%
Match Preview & Analysis
Tepatitlán face Monarcas in Liga de Expansión MX. Tepatitlán have won 1, drawn 0 and lost 4 of their last 5 games, scoring 4 and conceding 17 (0.6 points per game). Monarcas have won 4, drawn 1 and lost 0 of their last 5 games, scoring 9 and conceding 2 (2.6 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 69% and Both Teams to Score at 50%.
Monarcas's counter-attacking efficiency awards them a 91% win probability, presenting genuine betting value for Monarcas to Win (2). Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 0-2, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 2% win probability for Tepatitlán, a 5% chance of a draw, and a 91% probability for Monarcas. Our top recommended betting pick is Monarcas Win (2).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 0 - 2, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 3.25 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 50%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Saturday, 10 Oct 2026 at 01:00 (East Africa Time) at home stadium as part of the Liga de Expansión MX.
