Liga MX · Saturday, 10 Oct 2026
Tigres UANL
Home
03:00
d ::
Estadio Universitario
Toluca
Away
Recommended tip
Home Win @ 2.00
Predicted score
1 - 1
Goal expectancy (xG)
1.78 - 1.12
Win probability
Home
45%
Draw
26%
Away
28%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
1
47%
2.00
Double Chance
Home/Draw
71%
1.32
Over / Under 2.5
No tip for this market.
Both Teams To Score
No tip for this market.
Over 1.5 Goals
Over 1.5
64%
1.47
Goals & trends
50%
Over 2.5
50%
BTTS
64%
Over 1.5
2.9
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Tigres UANL wins
0
Draws
0
Toluca wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
33%
Recent form
60%
26%
Attack
60%
66%
Defence
60%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
45%
Win probability
28%
League standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tol Toluca | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | +11 | 20 |
| 15 | Tig Tigres UANL | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | -3 | 10 |
Match Preview & Analysis
Tigres UANL face Toluca in Liga MX. Tigres UANL have won 1, drawn 2 and lost 2 of their last 5 games, scoring 4 and conceding 5 (1 points per game). Toluca have won 3, drawn 0 and lost 2 of their last 5 games, scoring 9 and conceding 6 (1.8 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 50% and Both Teams to Score at 50%.
With a 45% probability backing Tigres UANL, home advantage and superior chance creation make Tigres UANL to Win (1) the primary recommendation. Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 1-1, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 45% win probability for Tigres UANL, a 26% chance of a draw, and a 28% probability for Toluca. Our top recommended betting pick is Tigres UANL Win (1).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 1 - 1, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 2.9 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 50%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Saturday, 10 Oct 2026 at 03:00 (East Africa Time) at Estadio Universitario as part of the Liga MX.
