Liga 3 · Saturday, 10 Oct 2026
Leça
Home
2-0
Full time
Estadio do Leca Futebol Clube
AD Marco 09
Away
Recommended tip
Away Win @ 1.92
Predicted score
1 - 1
Goal expectancy (xG)
1.37 - 1.56
Win probability
Home
28%
Draw
24%
Away
48%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
2
49%
1.92
Double Chance
Draw/Away
72%
1.31
Over / Under 2.5
No tip for this market.
Both Teams To Score
No tip for this market.
Over 1.5 Goals
Over 1.5
68%
1.38
Goals & trends
50%
Over 2.5
50%
BTTS
68%
Over 1.5
2.93
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Leça wins
0
Draws
0
AD Marco 09 wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
60%
Recent form
86%
53%
Attack
33%
53%
Defence
95%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
28%
Win probability
48%
Home and away record
Leça
last 2 at home
0W
1D
1L
0.50
points a game
0.50
scored a game
2.00
conceded a game
AD Marco 09
last 5 away from home
1W
2D
2L
1.00
points a game
0.60
scored a game
1.00
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
9 matches.
| Leça | AD Marco 09 | |
|---|---|---|
| 88% 7/8 | Over 1.5 goals | 5/9 56% |
| 50% 4/8 | Over 2.5 goals | 2/9 22% |
| 25% 2/8 | Over 3.5 goals | 0/9 0% |
| 38% 3/8 | Both teams scored | 3/9 33% |
| 25% 2/8 | Kept a clean sheet | 5/9 56% |
| 50% 4/8 | Failed to score | 2/9 22% |
At half time
Leça
from 7 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
43%
Level
29%
Behind
29%
AD Marco 09
from 8 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
38%
Level
38%
Behind
25%
Match Preview & Analysis
Leça face AD Marco 09 in Liga 3. Leça have won 3, drawn 0 and lost 2 of their last 5 games, scoring 8 and conceding 7 (1.8 points per game). AD Marco 09 have won 4, drawn 1 and lost 0 of their last 5 games, scoring 5 and conceding 0 (2.6 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 50% and Both Teams to Score at 50%.
AD Marco 09's counter-attacking efficiency awards them a 48% win probability, presenting genuine betting value for AD Marco 09 to Win (2). Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 1-1, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 28% win probability for Leça, a 24% chance of a draw, and a 48% probability for AD Marco 09. Our top recommended betting pick is AD Marco 09 Win (2).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 1 - 1, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 2.93 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 50%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Saturday, 10 Oct 2026 at 10:00 (East Africa Time) at Estadio do Leca Futebol Clube as part of the Liga 3.
