Tercera División RFEF - Group 4 · Saturday, 10 Oct 2026
Durango
Home
1-1
Full time
Venue TBC
Derio
Away
Recommended tip
Draw @ 2.04
Predicted score
1 - 1
Goal expectancy (xG)
1.35 - 1.18
Win probability
Home
27%
Draw
42%
Away
31%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
X
46%
2.04
Double Chance
Draw/Away
73%
1.29
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
73%
1.29
Both Teams To Score
No BTTS
67%
1.40
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
27%
Over 2.5
33%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
2.53
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Durango wins
0
Draws
0
Derio wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
53%
Recent form
53%
60%
Attack
60%
60%
Defence
53%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
27%
Win probability
31%
Home and away record
Durango
last 7 at home
2W
3D
2L
1.29
points a game
1.57
scored a game
1.57
conceded a game
Derio
last 2 away from home
0W
2D
0L
1.00
points a game
1.00
scored a game
1.00
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
10 matches.
| Durango | Derio | |
|---|---|---|
| 70% 7/10 | Over 1.5 goals | 6/8 75% |
| 50% 5/10 | Over 2.5 goals | 2/8 25% |
| 30% 3/10 | Over 3.5 goals | 1/8 13% |
| 60% 6/10 | Both teams scored | 3/8 38% |
| 30% 3/10 | Kept a clean sheet | 3/8 38% |
| 30% 3/10 | Failed to score | 3/8 38% |
At half time
Durango
from 10 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
30%
Level
30%
Behind
40%
Derio
from 8 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
25%
Level
50%
Behind
25%
Match Preview & Analysis
Durango face Derio in Tercera División RFEF - Group 4. Durango have won 2, drawn 2 and lost 1 of their last 5 games, scoring 9 and conceding 6 (1.6 points per game). Derio have won 2, drawn 2 and lost 1 of their last 5 games, scoring 9 and conceding 7 (1.6 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 27% and Both Teams to Score at 33%.
With evenly matched metrics (27% vs 31%), tactical discipline from both sides favors a tightly fought stalemate (Match Draw (X)). Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 1-1, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 27% win probability for Durango, a 42% chance of a draw, and a 31% probability for Derio. Our top recommended betting pick is Draw (X).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 1 - 1, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 2.53 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 33%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Saturday, 10 Oct 2026 at 10:00 (East Africa Time) at home stadium as part of the Tercera División RFEF - Group 4.
