Second League - Group 3 · Saturday, 10 Oct 2026
Zenit Penza
Home
0-1
Full time
Venue TBC
Rodina Moskva III
Away
Recommended tip
Draw @ 2.29
Predicted score
1 - 1
Goal expectancy (xG)
1.61 - 1.29
Win probability
Home
38%
Draw
26%
Away
36%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
X
41%
2.29
Double Chance
Home/Draw
65%
1.45
Over / Under 2.5
No tip for this market.
Both Teams To Score
No tip for this market.
Over 1.5 Goals
Over 1.5
65%
1.45
Goals & trends
50%
Over 2.5
50%
BTTS
65%
Over 1.5
2.9
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Zenit Penza wins
0
Draws
0
Rodina Moskva III wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
26%
Recent form
80%
13%
Attack
60%
46%
Defence
66%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
38%
Win probability
36%
Home and away record
Zenit Penza
last 6 at home
3W
1D
2L
1.67
points a game
1.17
scored a game
1.00
conceded a game
Rodina Moskva III
last 5 away from home
3W
0D
2L
1.80
points a game
2.20
scored a game
1.80
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
10 matches.
| Zenit Penza | Rodina Moskva III | |
|---|---|---|
| 70% 7/10 | Over 1.5 goals | 8/10 80% |
| 40% 4/10 | Over 2.5 goals | 6/10 60% |
| 20% 2/10 | Over 3.5 goals | 4/10 40% |
| 30% 3/10 | Both teams scored | 6/10 60% |
| 20% 2/10 | Kept a clean sheet | 2/10 20% |
| 60% 6/10 | Failed to score | 2/10 20% |
At half time
Zenit Penza
from 10 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
10%
Level
40%
Behind
50%
Rodina Moskva III
from 10 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
20%
Level
50%
Behind
30%
Match Preview & Analysis
Zenit Penza face Rodina Moskva III in Second League - Group 3. Zenit Penza have won 1, drawn 1 and lost 3 of their last 5 games, scoring 2 and conceding 8 (0.8 points per game). Rodina Moskva III have won 4, drawn 0 and lost 1 of their last 5 games, scoring 9 and conceding 5 (2.4 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 50% and Both Teams to Score at 50%.
With evenly matched metrics (38% vs 36%), tactical discipline from both sides favors a tightly fought stalemate (Match Draw (X)). Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 1-1, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 38% win probability for Zenit Penza, a 26% chance of a draw, and a 36% probability for Rodina Moskva III. Our top recommended betting pick is Draw (X).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 1 - 1, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 2.9 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 50%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Saturday, 10 Oct 2026 at 11:00 (East Africa Time) at home stadium as part of the Second League - Group 3.
