Thai League 1 · Saturday, 10 Oct 2026
BG Pathum United
Home
1-1
Full time
True BG Stadium
Ayutthaya FC
Away
Recommended tip
Away Win @ 1.96
Predicted score
1 - 1
Goal expectancy (xG)
1.35 - 1.53
Win probability
Home
27%
Draw
26%
Away
47%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
2
48%
1.96
Double Chance
Draw/Away
73%
1.29
Over / Under 2.5
No tip for this market.
Both Teams To Score
No tip for this market.
Over 1.5 Goals
Over 1.5
64%
1.47
Goals & trends
50%
Over 2.5
50%
BTTS
64%
Over 1.5
2.88
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
BG Pathum United wins
0
Draws
0
Ayutthaya FC wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
33%
Recent form
66%
46%
Attack
44%
40%
Defence
66%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
27%
Win probability
47%
Home and away record
BG Pathum United
last 2 at home
1W
0D
1L
1.50
points a game
2.00
scored a game
2.50
conceded a game
Ayutthaya FC
last 1 away from home
1W
0D
0L
3.00
points a game
1.00
scored a game
0.00
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
6 matches.
| BG Pathum United | Ayutthaya FC | |
|---|---|---|
| 67% 4/6 | Over 1.5 goals | 2/3 67% |
| 50% 3/6 | Over 2.5 goals | 2/3 67% |
| 50% 3/6 | Over 3.5 goals | 0/3 0% |
| 67% 4/6 | Both teams scored | 2/3 67% |
| 33% 2/6 | Kept a clean sheet | 1/3 33% |
| 33% 2/6 | Failed to score | 0/3 0% |
At half time
BG Pathum United
from 5 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
0%
Level
60%
Behind
40%
Ayutthaya FC
from 3 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
0%
Level
100%
Behind
0%
Match Preview & Analysis
BG Pathum United face Ayutthaya FC in Thai League 1. BG Pathum United have won 1, drawn 2 and lost 2 of their last 5 games, scoring 7 and conceding 9 (1 points per game). Ayutthaya FC have won 2, drawn 0 and lost 1 of their last 3 games, scoring 4 and conceding 3 (2 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 50% and Both Teams to Score at 50%.
Ayutthaya FC's counter-attacking efficiency awards them a 47% win probability, presenting genuine betting value for Ayutthaya FC to Win (2). Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 1-1, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 27% win probability for BG Pathum United, a 26% chance of a draw, and a 47% probability for Ayutthaya FC. Our top recommended betting pick is Ayutthaya FC Win (2).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 1 - 1, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 2.88 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 50%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Saturday, 10 Oct 2026 at 11:00 (East Africa Time) at True BG Stadium as part of the Thai League 1.
