Ykkönen · Saturday, 10 Oct 2026
PKKU
Home
0-4
Full time
Kalevan Urheilupuisto
SalPa
Away
Recommended tip
Home Win @ 1.96
Predicted score
1 - 1
Goal expectancy (xG)
1.83 - 1.25
Win probability
Home
47%
Draw
20%
Away
34%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
1
48%
1.96
Double Chance
Home/Away
80%
1.18
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
69%
1.36
Both Teams To Score
BTTS
66%
1.42
Over 1.5 Goals
Over 1.5
76%
1.24
Goals & trends
69%
Over 2.5
66%
BTTS
76%
Over 1.5
3.08
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
1
PKKU wins
0
Draws
0
SalPa wins
25 Jul 2026
SalPa
0 - 1
PKKU
Why this prediction
53%
Recent form
80%
73%
Attack
95%
46%
Defence
26%
95%
Head-to-head
5%
47%
Win probability
34%
Home and away record
PKKU
last 7 at home
3W
3D
1L
1.71
points a game
2.00
scored a game
1.71
conceded a game
SalPa
last 6 away from home
3W
2D
1L
1.83
points a game
1.50
scored a game
1.33
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
10 matches.
| PKKU | SalPa | |
|---|---|---|
| 70% 7/10 | Over 1.5 goals | 9/10 90% |
| 60% 6/10 | Over 2.5 goals | 7/10 70% |
| 60% 6/10 | Over 3.5 goals | 4/10 40% |
| 60% 6/10 | Both teams scored | 7/10 70% |
| 40% 4/10 | Kept a clean sheet | 0/10 0% |
| 10% 1/10 | Failed to score | 3/10 30% |
At half time
PKKU
from 10 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
50%
Level
40%
Behind
10%
SalPa
from 10 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
20%
Level
30%
Behind
50%
Match Preview & Analysis
PKKU face SalPa in Ykkönen. PKKU have won 2, drawn 2 and lost 1 of their last 5 games, scoring 11 and conceding 8 (1.6 points per game). SalPa have won 4, drawn 0 and lost 1 of their last 5 games, scoring 17 and conceding 11 (2.4 points per game).
In their last 1 meeting on record, PKKU won 1, SalPa won 0 and 0 ended level. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 69% and Both Teams to Score at 66%.
With a 47% probability backing PKKU, home advantage and superior chance creation make PKKU to Win (1) the primary recommendation. Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 1-1, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 47% win probability for PKKU, a 20% chance of a draw, and a 34% probability for SalPa. Our top recommended betting pick is PKKU Win (1).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 1 - 1, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 3.08 goals across both sides.
Yes. Both Teams To Score (BTTS / GG) is favored with a 66% likelihood based on recent scoring form and defensive concession rates.
The match takes place on Saturday, 10 Oct 2026 at 11:00 (East Africa Time) at Kalevan Urheilupuisto as part of the Ykkönen.
