League Two · Saturday, 10 Oct 2026
Swindon Town
Home
0-1
Full time
County Ground
Crewe
Away
Recommended tip
Away Win @ 1.84
Predicted score
1 - 1
Goal expectancy (xG)
1.2 - 1.62
Win probability
Home
21%
Draw
28%
Away
51%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
2
51%
1.84
Double Chance
Draw/Away
78%
1.21
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
1.54
Both Teams To Score
No tip for this market.
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
39%
Over 2.5
50%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
2.82
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Swindon Town wins
0
Draws
0
Crewe wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
5%
Recent form
60%
6%
Attack
73%
33%
Defence
60%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
21%
Win probability
51%
Home and away record
Swindon Town
last 8 at home
4W
0D
4L
1.50
points a game
1.50
scored a game
1.50
conceded a game
Crewe
last 8 away from home
3W
4D
1L
1.63
points a game
1.50
scored a game
1.00
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
10 matches.
| Swindon Town | Crewe | |
|---|---|---|
| 70% 7/10 | Over 1.5 goals | 8/10 80% |
| 60% 6/10 | Over 2.5 goals | 5/10 50% |
| 30% 3/10 | Over 3.5 goals | 5/10 50% |
| 40% 4/10 | Both teams scored | 8/10 80% |
| 10% 1/10 | Kept a clean sheet | 2/10 20% |
| 60% 6/10 | Failed to score | 1/10 10% |
At half time
Swindon Town
from 10 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
10%
Level
50%
Behind
40%
Crewe
from 10 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
30%
Level
40%
Behind
30%
Match Preview & Analysis
Swindon Town face Crewe in League Two. Swindon Town have won 0, drawn 0 and lost 5 of their last 5 games, scoring 1 and conceding 10 (0 points per game). Crewe have won 2, drawn 3 and lost 0 of their last 5 games, scoring 11 and conceding 6 (1.8 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 39% and Both Teams to Score at 50%.
Crewe's counter-attacking efficiency awards them a 51% win probability, presenting genuine betting value for Crewe to Win (2). Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 1-1, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 21% win probability for Swindon Town, a 28% chance of a draw, and a 51% probability for Crewe. Our top recommended betting pick is Crewe Win (2).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 1 - 1, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 2.82 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 50%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Saturday, 10 Oct 2026 at 11:30 (East Africa Time) at County Ground as part of the League Two.
