League One · Saturday, 10 Oct 2026
Plymouth
Home
2-1
Full time
Home Park
AFC Wimbledon
Away
Recommended tip
Home Win @ 1.62
Predicted score
2 - 0
Goal expectancy (xG)
2.26 - 0.79
Win probability
Home
65%
Draw
23%
Away
13%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
1
58%
1.62
Double Chance
No tip for this market.
Over / Under 2.5
No tip for this market.
Both Teams To Score
No tip for this market.
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
50%
Over 2.5
50%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
3.05
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Plymouth wins
0
Draws
0
AFC Wimbledon wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
86%
Recent form
53%
95%
Attack
26%
66%
Defence
73%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
65%
Win probability
13%
Home and away record
Plymouth
last 7 at home
4W
1D
2L
1.86
points a game
2.14
scored a game
1.14
conceded a game
AFC Wimbledon
last 7 away from home
2W
1D
4L
1.00
points a game
0.86
scored a game
1.86
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
10 matches.
| Plymouth | AFC Wimbledon | |
|---|---|---|
| 100% 10/10 | Over 1.5 goals | 5/10 50% |
| 60% 6/10 | Over 2.5 goals | 3/10 30% |
| 50% 5/10 | Over 3.5 goals | 1/10 10% |
| 60% 6/10 | Both teams scored | 2/10 20% |
| 30% 3/10 | Kept a clean sheet | 6/10 60% |
| 10% 1/10 | Failed to score | 5/10 50% |
At half time
Plymouth
from 10 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
50%
Level
20%
Behind
30%
AFC Wimbledon
from 10 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
30%
Level
40%
Behind
30%
League standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 |
Plymouth |
14 | 7 | 2 | 5 | +2 | 23 |
| 18 |
AFC Wimbledon |
13 | 3 | 4 | 6 | -12 | 13 |
Match Preview & Analysis
Plymouth face AFC Wimbledon in League One. Plymouth have won 4, drawn 1 and lost 0 of their last 5 games, scoring 16 and conceding 5 (2.6 points per game). AFC Wimbledon have won 2, drawn 2 and lost 1 of their last 5 games, scoring 4 and conceding 4 (1.6 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 50% and Both Teams to Score at 50%.
With a 65% probability backing Plymouth, home advantage and superior chance creation make Plymouth to Win (1) the primary recommendation. Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 2-0, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 65% win probability for Plymouth, a 23% chance of a draw, and a 13% probability for AFC Wimbledon. Our top recommended betting pick is Plymouth Win (1).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 2 - 0, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 3.05 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 50%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Saturday, 10 Oct 2026 at 11:30 (East Africa Time) at Home Park as part of the League One.
