3. Liga · Saturday, 10 Oct 2026
MSV Duisburg
Home
3-2
Full time
MSV-Arena
Hoffenheim II
Away
Recommended tip
Home Win @ 1.57
Predicted score
2 - 0
Goal expectancy (xG)
2.33 - 0.83
Win probability
Home
68%
Draw
16%
Away
15%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
1
60%
1.57
Double Chance
No tip for this market.
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
66%
1.42
Both Teams To Score
BTTS
60%
1.57
Over 1.5 Goals
Over 1.5
74%
1.27
Goals & trends
66%
Over 2.5
60%
BTTS
74%
Over 1.5
3.16
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
MSV Duisburg wins
0
Draws
0
Hoffenheim II wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
80%
Recent form
66%
80%
Attack
66%
66%
Defence
66%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
68%
Win probability
15%
Home and away record
MSV Duisburg
last 5 at home
3W
0D
2L
1.80
points a game
2.20
scored a game
1.60
conceded a game
Hoffenheim II
last 7 away from home
3W
0D
4L
1.29
points a game
1.57
scored a game
1.43
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
10 matches.
| MSV Duisburg | Hoffenheim II | |
|---|---|---|
| 90% 9/10 | Over 1.5 goals | 8/10 80% |
| 80% 8/10 | Over 2.5 goals | 6/10 60% |
| 30% 3/10 | Over 3.5 goals | 3/10 30% |
| 70% 7/10 | Both teams scored | 5/10 50% |
| 30% 3/10 | Kept a clean sheet | 2/10 20% |
| 10% 1/10 | Failed to score | 3/10 30% |
At half time
MSV Duisburg
from 10 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
30%
Level
40%
Behind
30%
Hoffenheim II
from 10 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
40%
Level
20%
Behind
40%
League standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
MSV Duisburg |
11 | 8 | 1 | 2 | +14 | 25 |
| 8 |
Hoffenheim II |
11 | 5 | 1 | 5 | +2 | 16 |
Match Preview & Analysis
MSV Duisburg face Hoffenheim II in 3. Liga. MSV Duisburg have won 4, drawn 0 and lost 1 of their last 5 games, scoring 12 and conceding 5 (2.4 points per game). Hoffenheim II have won 3, drawn 1 and lost 1 of their last 5 games, scoring 10 and conceding 5 (2 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 66% and Both Teams to Score at 60%.
With a 68% probability backing MSV Duisburg, home advantage and superior chance creation make MSV Duisburg to Win (1) the primary recommendation. Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 2-0, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 68% win probability for MSV Duisburg, a 16% chance of a draw, and a 15% probability for Hoffenheim II. Our top recommended betting pick is MSV Duisburg Win (1).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 2 - 0, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 3.16 goals across both sides.
Yes. Both Teams To Score (BTTS / GG) is favored with a 60% likelihood based on recent scoring form and defensive concession rates.
The match takes place on Saturday, 10 Oct 2026 at 14:30 (East Africa Time) at MSV-Arena as part of the 3. Liga.
