3. Liga · Sunday, 11 Oct 2026
Fortuna Düsseldorf
Home
2-2
Full time
Merkur Spielarena
Verl
Away
Recommended tip
Home Win @ 1.96
Predicted score
1 - 1
Goal expectancy (xG)
1.83 - 1.05
Win probability
Home
47%
Draw
28%
Away
25%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
1
48%
1.96
Double Chance
Home/Draw
75%
1.25
Over / Under 2.5
No tip for this market.
Both Teams To Score
No tip for this market.
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
50%
Over 2.5
50%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
2.88
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Fortuna Düsseldorf wins
0
Draws
0
Verl wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
66%
Recent form
66%
33%
Attack
40%
80%
Defence
66%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
47%
Win probability
25%
Home and away record
Fortuna Düsseldorf
last 6 at home
4W
0D
2L
2.00
points a game
1.33
scored a game
1.50
conceded a game
Verl
last 7 away from home
2W
1D
4L
1.00
points a game
0.57
scored a game
2.00
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
10 matches.
| Fortuna Düsseldorf | Verl | |
|---|---|---|
| 70% 7/10 | Over 1.5 goals | 9/10 90% |
| 50% 5/10 | Over 2.5 goals | 7/10 70% |
| 10% 1/10 | Over 3.5 goals | 3/10 30% |
| 50% 5/10 | Both teams scored | 6/10 60% |
| 20% 2/10 | Kept a clean sheet | 1/10 10% |
| 40% 4/10 | Failed to score | 3/10 30% |
At half time
Fortuna Düsseldorf
from 10 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
0%
Level
50%
Behind
50%
Verl
from 10 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
50%
Level
10%
Behind
40%
League standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 |
Fortuna Düsseldorf |
12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | -2 | 16 |
| 15 |
Verl |
11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | -6 | 12 |
Match Preview & Analysis
Fortuna Düsseldorf face Verl in 3. Liga. Fortuna Düsseldorf have won 3, drawn 1 and lost 1 of their last 5 games, scoring 5 and conceding 3 (2 points per game). Verl have won 3, drawn 1 and lost 1 of their last 5 games, scoring 6 and conceding 5 (2 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 50% and Both Teams to Score at 50%.
With a 47% probability backing Fortuna Düsseldorf, home advantage and superior chance creation make Fortuna Düsseldorf to Win (1) the primary recommendation. Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 1-1, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 47% win probability for Fortuna Düsseldorf, a 28% chance of a draw, and a 25% probability for Verl. Our top recommended betting pick is Fortuna Düsseldorf Win (1).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 1 - 1, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 2.88 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 50%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Sunday, 11 Oct 2026 at 17:30 (East Africa Time) at Merkur Spielarena as part of the 3. Liga.
