Liga Alef · Thursday, 08 Oct 2026
Ironi Baka El Garbiya
Home
1-2
Full time
Venue TBC
Hapoel Nazareth Illit
Away
Recommended tip
Away Win @ 1.84
Predicted score
1 - 1
Goal expectancy (xG)
1.35 - 1.62
Win probability
Home
27%
Draw
21%
Away
51%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
2
51%
1.84
Double Chance
Home/Away
77%
1.22
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
62%
1.52
Both Teams To Score
BTTS
60%
1.57
Over 1.5 Goals
Over 1.5
72%
1.31
Goals & trends
62%
Over 2.5
60%
BTTS
72%
Over 1.5
2.97
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Ironi Baka El Garbiya wins
0
Draws
0
Hapoel Nazareth Illit wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
33%
Recent form
58%
46%
Attack
66%
46%
Defence
41%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
27%
Win probability
51%
Home and away record
Ironi Baka El Garbiya
last 2 at home
1W
0D
1L
1.50
points a game
1.50
scored a game
1.50
conceded a game
Hapoel Nazareth Illit
last 2 away from home
1W
1D
0L
2.00
points a game
2.50
scored a game
2.00
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
5 matches.
| Ironi Baka El Garbiya | Hapoel Nazareth Illit | |
|---|---|---|
| 80% 4/5 | Over 1.5 goals | 3/4 75% |
| 60% 3/5 | Over 2.5 goals | 3/4 75% |
| 40% 2/5 | Over 3.5 goals | 3/4 75% |
| 60% 3/5 | Both teams scored | 3/4 75% |
| 20% 1/5 | Kept a clean sheet | 1/4 25% |
| 40% 2/5 | Failed to score | 0/4 0% |
At half time
Ironi Baka El Garbiya
from 5 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
0%
Level
80%
Behind
20%
Hapoel Nazareth Illit
from 4 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
25%
Level
75%
Behind
0%
Match Preview & Analysis
Ironi Baka El Garbiya face Hapoel Nazareth Illit in Liga Alef. Ironi Baka El Garbiya have won 1, drawn 2 and lost 2 of their last 5 games, scoring 7 and conceding 8 (1 points per game). Hapoel Nazareth Illit have won 2, drawn 1 and lost 1 of their last 4 games, scoring 8 and conceding 7 (1.75 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 62% and Both Teams to Score at 60%.
Hapoel Nazareth Illit's counter-attacking efficiency awards them a 51% win probability, presenting genuine betting value for Hapoel Nazareth Illit to Win (2). Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 1-1, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 27% win probability for Ironi Baka El Garbiya, a 21% chance of a draw, and a 51% probability for Hapoel Nazareth Illit. Our top recommended betting pick is Hapoel Nazareth Illit Win (2).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 1 - 1, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 2.97 goals across both sides.
Yes. Both Teams To Score (BTTS / GG) is favored with a 60% likelihood based on recent scoring form and defensive concession rates.
The match takes place on Thursday, 08 Oct 2026 at 17:30 (East Africa Time) at home stadium as part of the Liga Alef.
