Limited match data: this preview is still updating and is not promoted in search until enough form, standings and prediction evidence is available.
Serie C - Girone A · Saturday, 10 Oct 2026
Pergolettese
Home
2-1
Full time
Giuseppe Voltini
Athletic Carpi
Away
Recommended tip
Home Win @ 1.92
Predicted score
2 - 1
Goal expectancy (xG)
1.85 - 0.94
Win probability
Home
48%
Draw
33%
Away
20%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
1
49%
1.92
Double Chance
Home/Draw
80%
1.18
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
67%
1.40
Both Teams To Score
No BTTS
62%
1.52
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
33%
Over 2.5
38%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
2.79
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Pergolettese wins
0
Draws
0
Athletic Carpi wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
46%
Recent form
33%
20%
Attack
40%
86%
Defence
46%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
48%
Win probability
20%
Home and away record
Pergolettese
last 3 at home
0W
2D
1L
0.67
points a game
0.00
scored a game
0.33
conceded a game
Athletic Carpi
last 5 away from home
2W
1D
2L
1.40
points a game
1.00
scored a game
1.40
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
10 matches.
| Pergolettese | Athletic Carpi | |
|---|---|---|
| 33% 3/9 | Over 1.5 goals | 8/10 80% |
| 11% 1/9 | Over 2.5 goals | 6/10 60% |
| 11% 1/9 | Over 3.5 goals | 5/10 50% |
| 22% 2/9 | Both teams scored | 7/10 70% |
| 56% 5/9 | Kept a clean sheet | 2/10 20% |
| 67% 6/9 | Failed to score | 1/10 10% |
At half time
Pergolettese
from 9 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
22%
Level
56%
Behind
22%
Athletic Carpi
from 10 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
40%
Level
30%
Behind
30%
League standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 |
Pergolettese |
13 | 4 | 5 | 4 | -1 | 17 |
| 15 |
Athletic Carpi |
13 | 3 | 4 | 6 | -10 | 13 |
Match Preview & Analysis
Pergolettese face Athletic Carpi in Serie C - Girone A. Pergolettese have won 1, drawn 4 and lost 0 of their last 5 games, scoring 3 and conceding 2 (1.4 points per game). Athletic Carpi have won 1, drawn 2 and lost 2 of their last 5 games, scoring 6 and conceding 8 (1 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 33% and Both Teams to Score at 38%.
With a 48% probability backing Pergolettese, home advantage and superior chance creation make Pergolettese to Win (1) the primary recommendation. Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 2-1, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 48% win probability for Pergolettese, a 33% chance of a draw, and a 20% probability for Athletic Carpi. Our top recommended betting pick is Pergolettese Win (1).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 2 - 1, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 2.79 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 38%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Saturday, 10 Oct 2026 at 12:30 (East Africa Time) at Giuseppe Voltini as part of the Serie C - Girone A.
