Derde Divisie · Saturday, 10 Oct 2026
Excelsior Maassluis
Home
3-2
Full time
Venue TBC
TOGB
Away
Recommended tip
Home Win @ 1.32
Predicted score
2 - 0
Goal expectancy (xG)
2.84 - 0.57
Win probability
Home
89%
Draw
7%
Away
3%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
1
71%
1.32
Double Chance
No tip for this market.
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
68%
1.38
Both Teams To Score
No tip for this market.
Over 1.5 Goals
Over 1.5
75%
1.25
Goals & trends
68%
Over 2.5
50%
BTTS
75%
Over 1.5
3.41
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
1
Excelsior Maassluis wins
0
Draws
0
TOGB wins
11 Jul 2026
Excelsior Maassluis
3 - 0
TOGB
Why this prediction
86%
Recent form
26%
86%
Attack
86%
86%
Defence
5%
95%
Head-to-head
5%
89%
Win probability
5%
Home and away record
Excelsior Maassluis
last 5 at home
4W
1D
0L
2.60
points a game
3.00
scored a game
0.60
conceded a game
TOGB
last 5 away from home
0W
1D
4L
0.20
points a game
0.80
scored a game
2.60
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
10 matches.
| Excelsior Maassluis | TOGB | |
|---|---|---|
| 80% 8/10 | Over 1.5 goals | 10/10 100% |
| 50% 5/10 | Over 2.5 goals | 9/10 90% |
| 40% 4/10 | Over 3.5 goals | 7/10 70% |
| 50% 5/10 | Both teams scored | 8/10 80% |
| 40% 4/10 | Kept a clean sheet | 0/10 0% |
| 20% 2/10 | Failed to score | 2/10 20% |
At half time
Excelsior Maassluis
from 9 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
44%
Level
22%
Behind
33%
TOGB
from 9 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
56%
Level
22%
Behind
22%
League standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 |
Excelsior Maassluis |
12 | 8 | 2 | 2 | +13 | 26 |
| 12 |
TOGB |
12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | -7 | 12 |
Match Preview & Analysis
Excelsior Maassluis face TOGB in Derde Divisie. Excelsior Maassluis have won 4, drawn 1 and lost 0 of their last 5 games, scoring 13 and conceding 2 (2.6 points per game). TOGB have won 1, drawn 1 and lost 3 of their last 5 games, scoring 13 and conceding 18 (0.8 points per game).
In their last 1 meeting on record, Excelsior Maassluis won 1, TOGB won 0 and 0 ended level. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 68% and Both Teams to Score at 50%.
With a 89% probability backing Excelsior Maassluis, home advantage and superior chance creation make Excelsior Maassluis to Win (1) the primary recommendation. Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 2-0, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 89% win probability for Excelsior Maassluis, a 7% chance of a draw, and a 3% probability for TOGB. Our top recommended betting pick is Excelsior Maassluis Win (1).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 2 - 0, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 3.41 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 50%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Saturday, 10 Oct 2026 at 12:30 (East Africa Time) at home stadium as part of the Derde Divisie.
