Virsliga · Saturday, 10 Oct 2026
Super Nova
Home
2-1
Full time
Jana Skredela stadions
Grobiņa
Away
Recommended tip
Home Win @ 1.68
Predicted score
2 - 1
Goal expectancy (xG)
2.14 - 0.9
Win probability
Home
60%
Draw
22%
Away
18%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
1
56%
1.68
Double Chance
No tip for this market.
Over / Under 2.5
No tip for this market.
Both Teams To Score
No tip for this market.
Over 1.5 Goals
Over 1.5
67%
1.40
Goals & trends
50%
Over 2.5
50%
BTTS
67%
Over 1.5
3.04
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
1
Super Nova wins
0
Draws
0
Grobiņa wins
20 Jul 2026
Super Nova
2 - 0
Grobiņa
Why this prediction
46%
Recent form
33%
20%
Attack
20%
80%
Defence
66%
95%
Head-to-head
5%
60%
Win probability
18%
Home and away record
Super Nova
last 8 at home
2W
1D
5L
0.88
points a game
0.75
scored a game
1.38
conceded a game
Grobiņa
last 8 away from home
1W
1D
6L
0.50
points a game
0.75
scored a game
2.50
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
10 matches.
| Super Nova | Grobiņa | |
|---|---|---|
| 40% 4/10 | Over 1.5 goals | 7/10 70% |
| 20% 2/10 | Over 2.5 goals | 5/10 50% |
| 0% 0/10 | Over 3.5 goals | 5/10 50% |
| 30% 3/10 | Both teams scored | 5/10 50% |
| 40% 4/10 | Kept a clean sheet | 2/10 20% |
| 40% 4/10 | Failed to score | 4/10 40% |
At half time
Super Nova
from 10 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
10%
Level
50%
Behind
40%
Grobiņa
from 10 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
10%
Level
50%
Behind
40%
Match Preview & Analysis
Super Nova face Grobiņa in Virsliga. Super Nova have won 2, drawn 1 and lost 2 of their last 5 games, scoring 3 and conceding 3 (1.4 points per game). Grobiņa have won 1, drawn 2 and lost 2 of their last 5 games, scoring 3 and conceding 5 (1 points per game).
In their last 1 meeting on record, Super Nova won 1, Grobiņa won 0 and 0 ended level. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 50% and Both Teams to Score at 50%.
With a 60% probability backing Super Nova, home advantage and superior chance creation make Super Nova to Win (1) the primary recommendation. Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 2-1, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 60% win probability for Super Nova, a 22% chance of a draw, and a 18% probability for Grobiņa. Our top recommended betting pick is Super Nova Win (1).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 2 - 1, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 3.04 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 50%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Saturday, 10 Oct 2026 at 13:00 (East Africa Time) at Jana Skredela stadions as part of the Virsliga.
