III Liga - Group 4 · Saturday, 10 Oct 2026
Chełmianka Chełm
Home
2-1
Full time
Venue TBC
Star Starachowice
Away
Recommended tip
Home Win @ 1.29
Predicted score
3 - 0
Goal expectancy (xG)
2.88 - 0.54
Win probability
Home
91%
Draw
6%
Away
2%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
1
73%
1.29
Double Chance
No tip for this market.
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
64%
1.47
Both Teams To Score
No BTTS
62%
1.52
Over 1.5 Goals
Over 1.5
73%
1.29
Goals & trends
64%
Over 2.5
38%
BTTS
73%
Over 1.5
3.42
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Chełmianka Chełm wins
0
Draws
0
Star Starachowice wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
60%
Recent form
20%
40%
Attack
26%
80%
Defence
46%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
91%
Win probability
5%
Home and away record
Chełmianka Chełm
last 5 at home
4W
1D
0L
2.60
points a game
1.60
scored a game
0.60
conceded a game
Star Starachowice
last 8 away from home
1W
3D
4L
0.75
points a game
0.88
scored a game
2.00
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
10 matches.
| Chełmianka Chełm | Star Starachowice | |
|---|---|---|
| 70% 7/10 | Over 1.5 goals | 7/10 70% |
| 30% 3/10 | Over 2.5 goals | 5/10 50% |
| 10% 1/10 | Over 3.5 goals | 3/10 30% |
| 30% 3/10 | Both teams scored | 4/10 40% |
| 70% 7/10 | Kept a clean sheet | 4/10 40% |
| 10% 1/10 | Failed to score | 5/10 50% |
At half time
Chełmianka Chełm
from 10 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
60%
Level
40%
Behind
0%
Star Starachowice
from 9 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
11%
Level
67%
Behind
22%
League standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Chełmianka Chełm |
16 | 12 | 4 | 0 | +20 | 40 |
| 9 |
Star Starachowice |
16 | 6 | 5 | 5 | +3 | 23 |
Match Preview & Analysis
Chełmianka Chełm face Star Starachowice in III Liga - Group 4. Chełmianka Chełm have won 2, drawn 3 and lost 0 of their last 5 games, scoring 6 and conceding 3 (1.8 points per game). Star Starachowice have won 0, drawn 3 and lost 2 of their last 5 games, scoring 4 and conceding 8 (0.6 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 64% and Both Teams to Score at 38%.
With a 91% probability backing Chełmianka Chełm, home advantage and superior chance creation make Chełmianka Chełm to Win (1) the primary recommendation. Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 3-0, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 91% win probability for Chełmianka Chełm, a 6% chance of a draw, and a 2% probability for Star Starachowice. Our top recommended betting pick is Chełmianka Chełm Win (1).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 3 - 0, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 3.42 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 38%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Saturday, 10 Oct 2026 at 13:00 (East Africa Time) at home stadium as part of the III Liga - Group 4.
