Segunda Liga · Saturday, 10 Oct 2026
Amarante
Home
1-2
Full time
Municipal de Amarante
Portimonense
Away
Recommended tip
Draw @ 2.29
Predicted score
1 - 1
Goal expectancy (xG)
1.64 - 1.18
Win probability
Home
39%
Draw
29%
Away
31%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
X
41%
2.29
Double Chance
Home/Draw
69%
1.36
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.59
Both Teams To Score
No tip for this market.
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
41%
Over 2.5
50%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
2.82
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Amarante wins
0
Draws
0
Portimonense wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
53%
Recent form
26%
40%
Attack
13%
66%
Defence
60%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
39%
Win probability
31%
Home and away record
Amarante
last 3 at home
1W
1D
1L
1.33
points a game
1.00
scored a game
1.00
conceded a game
Portimonense
last 4 away from home
2W
1D
1L
1.75
points a game
0.75
scored a game
0.50
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
9 matches.
| Amarante | Portimonense | |
|---|---|---|
| 67% 6/9 | Over 1.5 goals | 6/9 67% |
| 44% 4/9 | Over 2.5 goals | 2/9 22% |
| 22% 2/9 | Over 3.5 goals | 0/9 0% |
| 44% 4/9 | Both teams scored | 2/9 22% |
| 33% 3/9 | Kept a clean sheet | 3/9 33% |
| 33% 3/9 | Failed to score | 4/9 44% |
At half time
Amarante
from 8 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
38%
Level
13%
Behind
50%
Portimonense
from 8 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
38%
Level
13%
Behind
50%
Match Preview & Analysis
Amarante face Portimonense in Segunda Liga. Amarante have won 2, drawn 2 and lost 1 of their last 5 games, scoring 6 and conceding 5 (1.6 points per game). Portimonense have won 1, drawn 1 and lost 3 of their last 5 games, scoring 2 and conceding 6 (0.8 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 41% and Both Teams to Score at 50%.
With evenly matched metrics (39% vs 31%), tactical discipline from both sides favors a tightly fought stalemate (Match Draw (X)). Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 1-1, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 39% win probability for Amarante, a 29% chance of a draw, and a 31% probability for Portimonense. Our top recommended betting pick is Draw (X).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 1 - 1, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 2.82 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 50%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Saturday, 10 Oct 2026 at 13:00 (East Africa Time) at Municipal de Amarante as part of the Segunda Liga.
