Premyer Liqa · Saturday, 10 Oct 2026
Zira
Home
1-1
Full time
Zira Stadium
Şamaxı FK
Away
Recommended tip
Home Win @ 1.84
Predicted score
2 - 1
Goal expectancy (xG)
1.95 - 1.07
Win probability
Home
52%
Draw
22%
Away
26%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
1
51%
1.84
Double Chance
Home/Draw
74%
1.27
Over / Under 2.5
No tip for this market.
Both Teams To Score
No tip for this market.
Over 1.5 Goals
Over 1.5
70%
1.34
Goals & trends
50%
Over 2.5
50%
BTTS
70%
Over 1.5
3.02
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Zira wins
0
Draws
0
Şamaxı FK wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
46%
Recent form
60%
33%
Attack
46%
46%
Defence
80%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
52%
Win probability
26%
Home and away record
Zira
last 6 at home
4W
2D
0L
2.33
points a game
1.83
scored a game
0.50
conceded a game
Şamaxı FK
last 5 away from home
1W
3D
1L
1.20
points a game
1.20
scored a game
1.00
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
10 matches.
| Zira | Şamaxı FK | |
|---|---|---|
| 70% 7/10 | Over 1.5 goals | 4/6 67% |
| 40% 4/10 | Over 2.5 goals | 3/6 50% |
| 20% 2/10 | Over 3.5 goals | 2/6 33% |
| 30% 3/10 | Both teams scored | 4/6 67% |
| 40% 4/10 | Kept a clean sheet | 2/6 33% |
| 30% 3/10 | Failed to score | 2/6 33% |
At half time
Zira
from 10 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
60%
Level
30%
Behind
10%
Şamaxı FK
from 6 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
33%
Level
50%
Behind
17%
Match Preview & Analysis
Zira face Şamaxı FK in Premyer Liqa. Zira have won 2, drawn 1 and lost 2 of their last 5 games, scoring 5 and conceding 8 (1.4 points per game). Şamaxı FK have won 2, drawn 3 and lost 0 of their last 5 games, scoring 7 and conceding 3 (1.8 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 50% and Both Teams to Score at 50%.
With a 52% probability backing Zira, home advantage and superior chance creation make Zira to Win (1) the primary recommendation. Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 2-1, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 52% win probability for Zira, a 22% chance of a draw, and a 26% probability for Şamaxı FK. Our top recommended betting pick is Zira Win (1).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 2 - 1, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 3.02 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 50%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Saturday, 10 Oct 2026 at 13:00 (East Africa Time) at Zira Stadium as part of the Premyer Liqa.
