Third League - Southwest · Saturday, 10 Oct 2026
Kostinbrod
Home
5-0
Full time
Venue TBC
Chavdar Etropole
Away
Recommended tip
Home Win @ 1.52
Predicted score
2 - 0
Goal expectancy (xG)
2.4 - 0.76
Win probability
Home
71%
Draw
18%
Away
12%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
1
62%
1.52
Double Chance
No tip for this market.
Over / Under 2.5
No tip for this market.
Both Teams To Score
No tip for this market.
Over 1.5 Goals
Over 1.5
69%
1.36
Goals & trends
50%
Over 2.5
50%
BTTS
69%
Over 1.5
3.16
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Kostinbrod wins
0
Draws
0
Chavdar Etropole wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
60%
Recent form
20%
46%
Attack
33%
66%
Defence
5%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
71%
Win probability
12%
Home and away record
Kostinbrod
last 3 at home
2W
0D
1L
2.00
points a game
1.67
scored a game
1.33
conceded a game
Chavdar Etropole
last 4 away from home
0W
0D
4L
0.00
points a game
0.50
scored a game
3.00
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
9 matches.
| Kostinbrod | Chavdar Etropole | |
|---|---|---|
| 56% 5/9 | Over 1.5 goals | 9/9 100% |
| 44% 4/9 | Over 2.5 goals | 8/9 89% |
| 22% 2/9 | Over 3.5 goals | 5/9 56% |
| 33% 3/9 | Both teams scored | 7/9 78% |
| 33% 3/9 | Kept a clean sheet | 0/9 0% |
| 33% 3/9 | Failed to score | 2/9 22% |
At half time
Kostinbrod
from 7 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
29%
Level
29%
Behind
43%
Chavdar Etropole
from 9 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
33%
Level
11%
Behind
56%
League standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 |
Kostinbrod |
15 | 7 | 1 | 7 | +4 | 22 |
| 16 |
Chavdar Etropole |
16 | 5 | 2 | 9 | -17 | 17 |
Match Preview & Analysis
Kostinbrod face Chavdar Etropole in Third League - Southwest. Kostinbrod have won 3, drawn 0 and lost 2 of their last 5 games, scoring 7 and conceding 5 (1.8 points per game). Chavdar Etropole have won 1, drawn 0 and lost 4 of their last 5 games, scoring 5 and conceding 15 (0.6 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 50% and Both Teams to Score at 50%.
With a 71% probability backing Kostinbrod, home advantage and superior chance creation make Kostinbrod to Win (1) the primary recommendation. Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 2-0, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 71% win probability for Kostinbrod, a 18% chance of a draw, and a 12% probability for Chavdar Etropole. Our top recommended betting pick is Kostinbrod Win (1).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 2 - 0, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 3.16 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 50%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Saturday, 10 Oct 2026 at 13:00 (East Africa Time) at home stadium as part of the Third League - Southwest.
