Third League - Southwest · Saturday, 10 Oct 2026
Septemvri Simitli
Home
1-1
Full time
National Stadium Vasil Levski
Belasitsa
Away
Recommended tip
Home Win @ 1.88
Predicted score
2 - 1
Goal expectancy (xG)
1.9 - 1.16
Win probability
Home
50%
Draw
19%
Away
30%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
1
50%
1.88
Double Chance
Home/Away
79%
1.19
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
69%
1.36
Both Teams To Score
BTTS
66%
1.42
Over 1.5 Goals
Over 1.5
76%
1.24
Goals & trends
69%
Over 2.5
66%
BTTS
76%
Over 1.5
3.06
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Septemvri Simitli wins
0
Draws
0
Belasitsa wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
33%
Recent form
20%
46%
Attack
33%
33%
Defence
46%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
50%
Win probability
30%
Home and away record
Septemvri Simitli
last 4 at home
1W
2D
1L
1.25
points a game
1.25
scored a game
1.25
conceded a game
Belasitsa
last 5 away from home
1W
1D
3L
0.80
points a game
1.00
scored a game
1.80
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
10 matches.
| Septemvri Simitli | Belasitsa | |
|---|---|---|
| 90% 9/10 | Over 1.5 goals | 8/10 80% |
| 60% 6/10 | Over 2.5 goals | 7/10 70% |
| 30% 3/10 | Over 3.5 goals | 4/10 40% |
| 60% 6/10 | Both teams scored | 8/10 80% |
| 30% 3/10 | Kept a clean sheet | 0/10 0% |
| 20% 2/10 | Failed to score | 2/10 20% |
At half time
Septemvri Simitli
from 8 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
13%
Level
38%
Behind
50%
Belasitsa
from 8 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
13%
Level
25%
Behind
63%
League standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 |
Belasitsa |
16 | 6 | 3 | 7 | -1 | 21 |
| 11 |
Septemvri Simitli |
15 | 4 | 6 | 5 | -3 | 18 |
Match Preview & Analysis
Septemvri Simitli face Belasitsa in Third League - Southwest. Septemvri Simitli have won 1, drawn 2 and lost 2 of their last 5 games, scoring 7 and conceding 10 (1 points per game). Belasitsa have won 1, drawn 0 and lost 4 of their last 5 games, scoring 5 and conceding 8 (0.6 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 69% and Both Teams to Score at 66%.
With a 50% probability backing Septemvri Simitli, home advantage and superior chance creation make Septemvri Simitli to Win (1) the primary recommendation. Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 2-1, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 50% win probability for Septemvri Simitli, a 19% chance of a draw, and a 30% probability for Belasitsa. Our top recommended betting pick is Septemvri Simitli Win (1).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 2 - 1, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 3.06 goals across both sides.
Yes. Both Teams To Score (BTTS / GG) is favored with a 66% likelihood based on recent scoring form and defensive concession rates.
The match takes place on Saturday, 10 Oct 2026 at 13:00 (East Africa Time) at National Stadium Vasil Levski as part of the Third League - Southwest.
