Third League - Southwest · Saturday, 10 Oct 2026
Septemvri Sofia II
Home
2-1
Full time
Venue TBC
Pirin Razlog
Away
Recommended tip
Home Win @ 1.36
Predicted score
2 - 0
Goal expectancy (xG)
2.74 - 0.59
Win probability
Home
85%
Draw
10%
Away
4%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
1
69%
1.36
Double Chance
No tip for this market.
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
62%
1.52
Both Teams To Score
No tip for this market.
Over 1.5 Goals
Over 1.5
72%
1.31
Goals & trends
62%
Over 2.5
50%
BTTS
72%
Over 1.5
3.33
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Septemvri Sofia II wins
0
Draws
0
Pirin Razlog wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
60%
Recent form
46%
60%
Attack
26%
60%
Defence
60%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
85%
Win probability
5%
Home and away record
Septemvri Sofia II
last 3 at home
2W
0D
1L
2.00
points a game
1.33
scored a game
0.67
conceded a game
Pirin Razlog
last 3 away from home
1W
0D
2L
1.00
points a game
0.67
scored a game
2.00
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
9 matches.
| Septemvri Sofia II | Pirin Razlog | |
|---|---|---|
| 88% 7/8 | Over 1.5 goals | 7/9 78% |
| 63% 5/8 | Over 2.5 goals | 6/9 67% |
| 13% 1/8 | Over 3.5 goals | 3/9 33% |
| 75% 6/8 | Both teams scored | 5/9 56% |
| 25% 2/8 | Kept a clean sheet | 2/9 22% |
| 0% 0/8 | Failed to score | 2/9 22% |
At half time
Septemvri Sofia II
from 8 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
63%
Level
25%
Behind
13%
Pirin Razlog
from 9 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
22%
Level
22%
Behind
56%
League standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 |
Septemvri Sofia II |
13 | 6 | 1 | 6 | -1 | 19 |
| 17 |
Pirin Razlog |
16 | 4 | 1 | 11 | -25 | 13 |
Match Preview & Analysis
Septemvri Sofia II face Pirin Razlog in Third League - Southwest. Septemvri Sofia II have won 3, drawn 0 and lost 2 of their last 5 games, scoring 9 and conceding 6 (1.8 points per game). Pirin Razlog have won 2, drawn 1 and lost 2 of their last 5 games, scoring 4 and conceding 6 (1.4 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 62% and Both Teams to Score at 50%.
With a 85% probability backing Septemvri Sofia II, home advantage and superior chance creation make Septemvri Sofia II to Win (1) the primary recommendation. Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 2-0, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 85% win probability for Septemvri Sofia II, a 10% chance of a draw, and a 4% probability for Pirin Razlog. Our top recommended betting pick is Septemvri Sofia II Win (1).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 2 - 0, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 3.33 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 50%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Saturday, 10 Oct 2026 at 13:00 (East Africa Time) at home stadium as part of the Third League - Southwest.
