Third League - Southeast · Saturday, 10 Oct 2026
Spartak Plovdiv
Home
2-0
Full time
Venue TBC
Dimitrovgrad
Away
Recommended tip
Home Win @ 1.34
Predicted score
2 - 0
Goal expectancy (xG)
2.76 - 0.59
Win probability
Home
86%
Draw
7%
Away
4%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
1
70%
1.34
Double Chance
No tip for this market.
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
72%
1.31
Both Teams To Score
No tip for this market.
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
72%
Over 2.5
50%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
3.35
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Spartak Plovdiv wins
0
Draws
0
Dimitrovgrad wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
80%
Recent form
26%
53%
Attack
26%
66%
Defence
46%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
86%
Win probability
5%
Home and away record
Spartak Plovdiv
last 5 at home
4W
0D
1L
2.40
points a game
2.20
scored a game
1.60
conceded a game
Dimitrovgrad
last 3 away from home
0W
0D
3L
0.00
points a game
1.67
scored a game
3.00
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
8 matches.
| Spartak Plovdiv | Dimitrovgrad | |
|---|---|---|
| 88% 7/8 | Over 1.5 goals | 6/8 75% |
| 63% 5/8 | Over 2.5 goals | 5/8 63% |
| 50% 4/8 | Over 3.5 goals | 3/8 38% |
| 63% 5/8 | Both teams scored | 4/8 50% |
| 38% 3/8 | Kept a clean sheet | 2/8 25% |
| 0% 0/8 | Failed to score | 3/8 38% |
At half time
Spartak Plovdiv
from 8 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
63%
Level
25%
Behind
13%
Dimitrovgrad
from 8 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
13%
Level
75%
Behind
13%
League standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 |
Spartak Plovdiv |
13 | 11 | 0 | 2 | +17 | 33 |
| 10 |
Dimitrovgrad |
13 | 5 | 2 | 6 | +4 | 17 |
Match Preview & Analysis
Spartak Plovdiv face Dimitrovgrad in Third League - Southeast. Spartak Plovdiv have won 4, drawn 0 and lost 1 of their last 5 games, scoring 8 and conceding 5 (2.4 points per game). Dimitrovgrad have won 1, drawn 1 and lost 3 of their last 5 games, scoring 4 and conceding 8 (0.8 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 72% and Both Teams to Score at 50%.
With a 86% probability backing Spartak Plovdiv, home advantage and superior chance creation make Spartak Plovdiv to Win (1) the primary recommendation. Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 2-0, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 86% win probability for Spartak Plovdiv, a 7% chance of a draw, and a 4% probability for Dimitrovgrad. Our top recommended betting pick is Spartak Plovdiv Win (1).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 2 - 0, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 3.35 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 50%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Saturday, 10 Oct 2026 at 13:00 (East Africa Time) at home stadium as part of the Third League - Southeast.
