Derde Divisie · Saturday, 10 Oct 2026
ADO '20
Home
3-1
Full time
Venue TBC
Excelsior '31
Away
Recommended tip
Away Win @ 1.38
Predicted score
1 - 2
Goal expectancy (xG)
0.87 - 2.3
Win probability
Home
7%
Draw
10%
Away
82%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
2
68%
1.38
Double Chance
No tip for this market.
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
69%
1.36
Both Teams To Score
No tip for this market.
Over 1.5 Goals
Over 1.5
76%
1.24
Goals & trends
69%
Over 2.5
50%
BTTS
76%
Over 1.5
3.17
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
ADO '20 wins
0
Draws
0
Excelsior '31 wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
46%
Recent form
66%
73%
Attack
73%
40%
Defence
53%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
7%
Win probability
82%
Home and away record
ADO '20
last 5 at home
2W
2D
1L
1.60
points a game
1.00
scored a game
0.60
conceded a game
Excelsior '31
last 5 away from home
4W
0D
1L
2.40
points a game
2.20
scored a game
1.00
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
9 matches.
| ADO '20 | Excelsior '31 | |
|---|---|---|
| 67% 6/9 | Over 1.5 goals | 8/9 89% |
| 56% 5/9 | Over 2.5 goals | 6/9 67% |
| 44% 4/9 | Over 3.5 goals | 5/9 56% |
| 67% 6/9 | Both teams scored | 4/9 44% |
| 22% 2/9 | Kept a clean sheet | 5/9 56% |
| 22% 2/9 | Failed to score | 0/9 0% |
At half time
ADO '20
from 8 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
38%
Level
50%
Behind
13%
Excelsior '31
from 8 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
38%
Level
50%
Behind
13%
League standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 |
Excelsior '31 |
12 | 7 | 1 | 4 | +12 | 22 |
| 10 |
ADO '20 |
12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | -1 | 17 |
Match Preview & Analysis
ADO '20 face Excelsior '31 in Derde Divisie. ADO '20 have won 2, drawn 1 and lost 2 of their last 5 games, scoring 11 and conceding 9 (1.4 points per game). Excelsior '31 have won 3, drawn 1 and lost 1 of their last 5 games, scoring 11 and conceding 7 (2 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 69% and Both Teams to Score at 50%.
Excelsior '31's counter-attacking efficiency awards them a 82% win probability, presenting genuine betting value for Excelsior '31 to Win (2). Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 1-2, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 7% win probability for ADO '20, a 10% chance of a draw, and a 82% probability for Excelsior '31. Our top recommended betting pick is Excelsior '31 Win (2).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 1 - 2, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 3.17 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 50%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Saturday, 10 Oct 2026 at 13:00 (East Africa Time) at home stadium as part of the Derde Divisie.
