FAW Championship · Saturday, 10 Oct 2026
Aberystwyth Town
Home
0-1
Full time
Park Avenue
Caerau (Ely)
Away
Recommended tip
Home Win @ 1.38
Predicted score
2 - 0
Goal expectancy (xG)
2.67 - 0.63
Win probability
Home
82%
Draw
8%
Away
6%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
1
68%
1.38
Double Chance
No tip for this market.
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
74%
1.27
Both Teams To Score
BTTS
63%
1.49
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
74%
Over 2.5
63%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
3.3
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Aberystwyth Town wins
0
Draws
0
Caerau (Ely) wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
95%
Recent form
60%
95%
Attack
66%
73%
Defence
33%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
82%
Win probability
6%
Home and away record
Aberystwyth Town
last 4 at home
3W
0D
1L
2.25
points a game
2.75
scored a game
0.75
conceded a game
Caerau (Ely)
last 5 away from home
1W
0D
4L
0.60
points a game
1.80
scored a game
2.60
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
10 matches.
| Aberystwyth Town | Caerau (Ely) | |
|---|---|---|
| 86% 6/7 | Over 1.5 goals | 10/10 100% |
| 86% 6/7 | Over 2.5 goals | 8/10 80% |
| 71% 5/7 | Over 3.5 goals | 6/10 60% |
| 71% 5/7 | Both teams scored | 8/10 80% |
| 29% 2/7 | Kept a clean sheet | 2/10 20% |
| 0% 0/7 | Failed to score | 0/10 0% |
At half time
Aberystwyth Town
from 7 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
71%
Level
29%
Behind
0%
Caerau (Ely)
from 9 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
33%
Level
44%
Behind
22%
League standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 |
Aberystwyth Town |
10 | 7 | 1 | 2 | +14 | 22 |
| 3 |
Caerau (Ely) |
12 | 7 | 1 | 4 | +3 | 22 |
Match Preview & Analysis
Aberystwyth Town face Caerau (Ely) in FAW Championship. Aberystwyth Town have won 5, drawn 0 and lost 0 of their last 5 games, scoring 16 and conceding 4 (3 points per game). Caerau (Ely) have won 3, drawn 0 and lost 2 of their last 5 games, scoring 10 and conceding 10 (1.8 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 74% and Both Teams to Score at 63%.
With a 82% probability backing Aberystwyth Town, home advantage and superior chance creation make Aberystwyth Town to Win (1) the primary recommendation. Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 2-0, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 82% win probability for Aberystwyth Town, a 8% chance of a draw, and a 6% probability for Caerau (Ely). Our top recommended betting pick is Aberystwyth Town Win (1).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 2 - 0, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 3.3 goals across both sides.
Yes. Both Teams To Score (BTTS / GG) is favored with a 63% likelihood based on recent scoring form and defensive concession rates.
The match takes place on Saturday, 10 Oct 2026 at 13:30 (East Africa Time) at Park Avenue as part of the FAW Championship.
