FAW Championship · Saturday, 10 Oct 2026
Baglan Dragons
Home
1-1
Full time
Venue TBC
Pontypridd Town
Away
Recommended tip
- @ -
Predicted score
1 - 1
Goal expectancy (xG)
1.66 - 1.16
Win probability
Home
40%
Draw
30%
Away
30%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
No tip for this market.
Double Chance
Draw/Away
66%
1.42
Over / Under 2.5
No tip for this market.
Both Teams To Score
No tip for this market.
Over 1.5 Goals
Over 1.5
69%
1.36
Goals & trends
50%
Over 2.5
50%
BTTS
69%
Over 1.5
2.82
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Baglan Dragons wins
0
Draws
0
Pontypridd Town wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
60%
Recent form
46%
53%
Attack
73%
60%
Defence
33%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
40%
Win probability
30%
Home and away record
Baglan Dragons
last 4 at home
2W
0D
2L
1.50
points a game
1.25
scored a game
1.50
conceded a game
Pontypridd Town
last 3 away from home
2W
1D
0L
2.33
points a game
3.67
scored a game
2.33
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
9 matches.
| Baglan Dragons | Pontypridd Town | |
|---|---|---|
| 56% 5/9 | Over 1.5 goals | 7/8 88% |
| 56% 5/9 | Over 2.5 goals | 7/8 88% |
| 11% 1/9 | Over 3.5 goals | 6/8 75% |
| 44% 4/9 | Both teams scored | 7/8 88% |
| 33% 3/9 | Kept a clean sheet | 0/8 0% |
| 33% 3/9 | Failed to score | 1/8 13% |
At half time
Baglan Dragons
from 9 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
33%
Level
44%
Behind
22%
Pontypridd Town
from 8 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
38%
Level
25%
Behind
38%
League standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Pontypridd Town |
12 | 7 | 3 | 2 | +11 | 24 |
| 6 |
Baglan Dragons |
12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | -1 | 17 |
Match Preview & Analysis
Baglan Dragons face Pontypridd Town in FAW Championship. Baglan Dragons have won 3, drawn 0 and lost 2 of their last 5 games, scoring 8 and conceding 6 (1.8 points per game). Pontypridd Town have won 2, drawn 1 and lost 2 of their last 5 games, scoring 11 and conceding 10 (1.4 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 50% and Both Teams to Score at 50%.
With evenly matched metrics (40% vs 30%), tactical discipline from both sides favors a tightly fought stalemate (Match outcome). Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 1-1, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 40% win probability for Baglan Dragons, a 30% chance of a draw, and a 30% probability for Pontypridd Town. Our top recommended betting pick is Double Chance / 1X2.
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 1 - 1, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 2.82 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 50%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Saturday, 10 Oct 2026 at 13:30 (East Africa Time) at home stadium as part of the FAW Championship.
