Premiership · Saturday, 10 Oct 2026
Heart Of Midlothian
Home
5-0
Full time
Tynecastle Park
ST Mirren
Away
Recommended tip
Home Win @ 1.36
Predicted score
2 - 0
Goal expectancy (xG)
2.74 - 0.61
Win probability
Home
85%
Draw
8%
Away
5%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
1
69%
1.36
Double Chance
No tip for this market.
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
73%
1.29
Both Teams To Score
BTTS
59%
1.59
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
73%
Over 2.5
59%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
3.35
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Heart Of Midlothian wins
0
Draws
0
ST Mirren wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
66%
Recent form
26%
66%
Attack
33%
66%
Defence
40%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
85%
Win probability
5%
Home and away record
Heart Of Midlothian
last 8 at home
5W
2D
1L
2.13
points a game
2.38
scored a game
1.25
conceded a game
ST Mirren
last 7 away from home
5W
0D
2L
2.14
points a game
2.29
scored a game
1.14
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
10 matches.
| Heart Of Midlothian | ST Mirren | |
|---|---|---|
| 100% 10/10 | Over 1.5 goals | 6/10 60% |
| 70% 7/10 | Over 2.5 goals | 5/10 50% |
| 30% 3/10 | Over 3.5 goals | 3/10 30% |
| 90% 9/10 | Both teams scored | 4/10 40% |
| 10% 1/10 | Kept a clean sheet | 3/10 30% |
| 0% 0/10 | Failed to score | 3/10 30% |
At half time
Heart Of Midlothian
from 10 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
40%
Level
20%
Behind
40%
ST Mirren
from 10 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
40%
Level
30%
Behind
30%
League standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 |
Heart Of Midlothian |
9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | +5 | 16 |
| 8 |
ST Mirren |
9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | -8 | 10 |
Match Preview & Analysis
Heart Of Midlothian face ST Mirren in Premiership. Heart Of Midlothian have won 3, drawn 1 and lost 1 of their last 5 games, scoring 10 and conceding 5 (2 points per game). ST Mirren have won 1, drawn 1 and lost 3 of their last 5 games, scoring 5 and conceding 9 (0.8 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 73% and Both Teams to Score at 59%.
With a 85% probability backing Heart Of Midlothian, home advantage and superior chance creation make Heart Of Midlothian to Win (1) the primary recommendation. Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 2-0, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 85% win probability for Heart Of Midlothian, a 8% chance of a draw, and a 5% probability for ST Mirren. Our top recommended betting pick is Heart Of Midlothian Win (1).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 2 - 0, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 3.35 goals across both sides.
Yes. Both Teams To Score (BTTS / GG) is favored with a 59% likelihood based on recent scoring form and defensive concession rates.
The match takes place on Saturday, 10 Oct 2026 at 14:00 (East Africa Time) at Tynecastle Park as part of the Premiership.
