Championship · Saturday, 10 Oct 2026
Arbroath
Home
1-2
Full time
Gayfield Park
Morton
Away
Recommended tip
Home Win @ 2.00
Predicted score
1 - 1
Goal expectancy (xG)
1.78 - 0.94
Win probability
Home
45%
Draw
34%
Away
20%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
1
47%
2.00
Double Chance
Home/Draw
78%
1.21
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
68%
1.38
Both Teams To Score
No BTTS
63%
1.49
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
32%
Over 2.5
37%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
2.72
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
1
Arbroath wins
0
Draws
0
Morton wins
22 Aug 2026
Morton
1 - 2
Arbroath
Why this prediction
26%
Recent form
6%
13%
Attack
26%
40%
Defence
33%
95%
Head-to-head
5%
45%
Win probability
20%
Home and away record
Arbroath
last 7 at home
3W
2D
2L
1.57
points a game
1.29
scored a game
1.14
conceded a game
Morton
last 5 away from home
0W
1D
4L
0.20
points a game
0.40
scored a game
2.00
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
10 matches.
| Arbroath | Morton | |
|---|---|---|
| 60% 6/10 | Over 1.5 goals | 7/10 70% |
| 30% 3/10 | Over 2.5 goals | 5/10 50% |
| 10% 1/10 | Over 3.5 goals | 1/10 10% |
| 20% 2/10 | Both teams scored | 5/10 50% |
| 30% 3/10 | Kept a clean sheet | 0/10 0% |
| 60% 6/10 | Failed to score | 5/10 50% |
At half time
Arbroath
from 10 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
10%
Level
40%
Behind
50%
Morton
from 10 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
0%
Level
50%
Behind
50%
Match Preview & Analysis
Arbroath face Morton in Championship. Arbroath have won 1, drawn 1 and lost 3 of their last 5 games, scoring 2 and conceding 9 (0.8 points per game). Morton have won 0, drawn 1 and lost 4 of their last 5 games, scoring 4 and conceding 10 (0.2 points per game).
In their last 1 meeting on record, Arbroath won 1, Morton won 0 and 0 ended level. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 32% and Both Teams to Score at 37%.
With a 45% probability backing Arbroath, home advantage and superior chance creation make Arbroath to Win (1) the primary recommendation. Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 1-1, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 45% win probability for Arbroath, a 34% chance of a draw, and a 20% probability for Morton. Our top recommended betting pick is Arbroath Win (1).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 1 - 1, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 2.72 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 37%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Saturday, 10 Oct 2026 at 14:00 (East Africa Time) at Gayfield Park as part of the Championship.
