Championship · Saturday, 10 Oct 2026
Ayr Utd
Home
1-1
Full time
Somerset Park
Dunfermline
Away
Recommended tip
Home Win @ 1.84
Predicted score
2 - 1
Goal expectancy (xG)
1.95 - 0.96
Win probability
Home
52%
Draw
27%
Away
21%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
1
51%
1.84
Double Chance
Home/Draw
78%
1.21
Over / Under 2.5
No tip for this market.
Both Teams To Score
No tip for this market.
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
50%
Over 2.5
50%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
2.91
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Ayr Utd wins
1
Draws
0
Dunfermline wins
08 Aug 2026
Dunfermline
1 - 1
Ayr Utd
Why this prediction
46%
Recent form
66%
40%
Attack
40%
60%
Defence
66%
5%
Head-to-head
5%
52%
Win probability
21%
Home and away record
Ayr Utd
last 8 at home
6W
1D
1L
2.38
points a game
2.25
scored a game
0.75
conceded a game
Dunfermline
last 8 away from home
4W
2D
2L
1.75
points a game
1.00
scored a game
0.88
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
10 matches.
| Ayr Utd | Dunfermline | |
|---|---|---|
| 90% 9/10 | Over 1.5 goals | 6/10 60% |
| 40% 4/10 | Over 2.5 goals | 2/10 20% |
| 30% 3/10 | Over 3.5 goals | 1/10 10% |
| 60% 6/10 | Both teams scored | 4/10 40% |
| 20% 2/10 | Kept a clean sheet | 5/10 50% |
| 20% 2/10 | Failed to score | 2/10 20% |
At half time
Ayr Utd
from 10 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
50%
Level
20%
Behind
30%
Dunfermline
from 10 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
10%
Level
80%
Behind
10%
Match Preview & Analysis
Ayr Utd face Dunfermline in Championship. Ayr Utd have won 2, drawn 1 and lost 2 of their last 5 games, scoring 6 and conceding 6 (1.4 points per game). Dunfermline have won 3, drawn 1 and lost 1 of their last 5 games, scoring 6 and conceding 5 (2 points per game).
In their last 1 meeting on record, Ayr Utd won 0, Dunfermline won 0 and 1 ended level. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 50% and Both Teams to Score at 50%.
With a 52% probability backing Ayr Utd, home advantage and superior chance creation make Ayr Utd to Win (1) the primary recommendation. Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 2-1, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 52% win probability for Ayr Utd, a 27% chance of a draw, and a 21% probability for Dunfermline. Our top recommended betting pick is Ayr Utd Win (1).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 2 - 1, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 2.91 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 50%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Saturday, 10 Oct 2026 at 14:00 (East Africa Time) at Somerset Park as part of the Championship.
