Premier League · Saturday, 10 Oct 2026
Chelsea
Home
14:00
d ::
Stamford Bridge
Bournemouth
Away
Recommended tip
Home Win @ 1.96
Predicted score
1 - 1
Goal expectancy (xG)
1.83 - 1.18
Win probability
Home
47%
Draw
22%
Away
31%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
1
48%
1.96
Double Chance
Home/Draw
69%
1.36
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
61%
1.54
Both Teams To Score
BTTS
60%
1.57
Over 1.5 Goals
Over 1.5
72%
1.31
Goals & trends
61%
Over 2.5
60%
BTTS
72%
Over 1.5
3.01
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Chelsea wins
0
Draws
0
Bournemouth wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
46%
Recent form
53%
80%
Attack
66%
20%
Defence
60%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
47%
Win probability
31%
League standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Che Chelsea | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | -2 | 7 |
| 17 | Bou Bournemouth | 5 | 0 | 3 | 2 | -2 | 3 |
Match Preview & Analysis
Chelsea face Bournemouth in Premier League. Chelsea have won 2, drawn 1 and lost 2 of their last 5 games, scoring 12 and conceding 12 (1.4 points per game). Bournemouth have won 2, drawn 2 and lost 1 of their last 5 games, scoring 10 and conceding 6 (1.6 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 61% and Both Teams to Score at 60%.
With a 47% probability backing Chelsea, home advantage and superior chance creation make Chelsea to Win (1) the primary recommendation. Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 1-1, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 47% win probability for Chelsea, a 22% chance of a draw, and a 31% probability for Bournemouth. Our top recommended betting pick is Chelsea Win (1).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 1 - 1, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 3.01 goals across both sides.
Yes. Both Teams To Score (BTTS / GG) is favored with a 60% likelihood based on recent scoring form and defensive concession rates.
The match takes place on Saturday, 10 Oct 2026 at 14:00 (East Africa Time) at Stamford Bridge as part of the Premier League.
