League Two · Saturday, 10 Oct 2026
Newport County
Home
1-0
Full time
Rodney Parade
Colchester
Away
Recommended tip
Home Win @ 1.74
Predicted score
2 - 1
Goal expectancy (xG)
2.07 - 0.98
Win probability
Home
57%
Draw
22%
Away
22%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
1
54%
1.74
Double Chance
Home/Draw
78%
1.21
Over / Under 2.5
No tip for this market.
Both Teams To Score
No tip for this market.
Over 1.5 Goals
Over 1.5
70%
1.34
Goals & trends
50%
Over 2.5
50%
BTTS
70%
Over 1.5
3.05
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Newport County wins
0
Draws
0
Colchester wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
46%
Recent form
20%
33%
Attack
33%
80%
Defence
40%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
57%
Win probability
22%
Home and away record
Newport County
last 6 at home
1W
3D
2L
1.00
points a game
1.50
scored a game
2.17
conceded a game
Colchester
last 8 away from home
2W
2D
4L
1.00
points a game
1.63
scored a game
1.38
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
10 matches.
| Newport County | Colchester | |
|---|---|---|
| 70% 7/10 | Over 1.5 goals | 9/10 90% |
| 50% 5/10 | Over 2.5 goals | 4/10 40% |
| 30% 3/10 | Over 3.5 goals | 3/10 30% |
| 50% 5/10 | Both teams scored | 7/10 70% |
| 40% 4/10 | Kept a clean sheet | 1/10 10% |
| 30% 3/10 | Failed to score | 2/10 20% |
At half time
Newport County
from 10 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
50%
Level
50%
Behind
0%
Colchester
from 10 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
20%
Level
40%
Behind
40%
League standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 |
Newport County |
14 | 4 | 6 | 4 | +3 | 18 |
| 23 |
Colchester |
13 | 2 | 6 | 5 | -7 | 12 |
Match Preview & Analysis
Newport County face Colchester in League Two. Newport County have won 1, drawn 4 and lost 0 of their last 5 games, scoring 5 and conceding 3 (1.4 points per game). Colchester have won 0, drawn 3 and lost 2 of their last 5 games, scoring 5 and conceding 9 (0.6 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 50% and Both Teams to Score at 50%.
With a 57% probability backing Newport County, home advantage and superior chance creation make Newport County to Win (1) the primary recommendation. Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 2-1, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 57% win probability for Newport County, a 22% chance of a draw, and a 22% probability for Colchester. Our top recommended betting pick is Newport County Win (1).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 2 - 1, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 3.05 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 50%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Saturday, 10 Oct 2026 at 14:00 (East Africa Time) at Rodney Parade as part of the League Two.
