League Two · Saturday, 10 Oct 2026
York
Home
1-1
Full time
York`s LNER Community Stadium
Northampton
Away
Recommended tip
Home Win @ 1.57
Predicted score
2 - 0
Goal expectancy (xG)
2.36 - 0.7
Win probability
Home
69%
Draw
22%
Away
9%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
1
60%
1.57
Double Chance
No tip for this market.
Over / Under 2.5
No tip for this market.
Both Teams To Score
No BTTS
62%
1.52
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
50%
Over 2.5
38%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
3.06
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
York wins
0
Draws
0
Northampton wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
33%
Recent form
26%
46%
Attack
20%
53%
Defence
60%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
69%
Win probability
9%
Home and away record
York
last 8 at home
3W
2D
3L
1.38
points a game
1.75
scored a game
1.63
conceded a game
Northampton
last 8 away from home
2W
2D
4L
1.00
points a game
1.13
scored a game
1.25
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
10 matches.
| York | Northampton | |
|---|---|---|
| 100% 10/10 | Over 1.5 goals | 5/10 50% |
| 50% 5/10 | Over 2.5 goals | 2/10 20% |
| 40% 4/10 | Over 3.5 goals | 0/10 0% |
| 70% 7/10 | Both teams scored | 3/10 30% |
| 10% 1/10 | Kept a clean sheet | 2/10 20% |
| 20% 2/10 | Failed to score | 6/10 60% |
At half time
York
from 10 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
30%
Level
50%
Behind
20%
Northampton
from 10 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
10%
Level
50%
Behind
40%
Match Preview & Analysis
York face Northampton in League Two. York have won 1, drawn 2 and lost 2 of their last 5 games, scoring 7 and conceding 7 (1 points per game). Northampton have won 1, drawn 1 and lost 3 of their last 5 games, scoring 3 and conceding 6 (0.8 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 50% and Both Teams to Score at 38%.
With a 69% probability backing York, home advantage and superior chance creation make York to Win (1) the primary recommendation. Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 2-0, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 69% win probability for York, a 22% chance of a draw, and a 9% probability for Northampton. Our top recommended betting pick is York Win (1).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 2 - 0, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 3.06 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 38%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Saturday, 10 Oct 2026 at 14:00 (East Africa Time) at York`s LNER Community Stadium as part of the League Two.
