National League - North · Saturday, 10 Oct 2026
Chorley
Home
2-1
Full time
Victory Park
AFC Telford United
Away
Recommended tip
Home Win @ 1.59
Predicted score
2 - 0
Goal expectancy (xG)
2.31 - 0.81
Win probability
Home
67%
Draw
19%
Away
14%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
1
59%
1.59
Double Chance
No tip for this market.
Over / Under 2.5
No tip for this market.
Both Teams To Score
No tip for this market.
Over 1.5 Goals
Over 1.5
70%
1.34
Goals & trends
50%
Over 2.5
50%
BTTS
70%
Over 1.5
3.12
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Chorley wins
0
Draws
0
AFC Telford United wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
60%
Recent form
53%
66%
Attack
40%
40%
Defence
53%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
67%
Win probability
14%
Home and away record
Chorley
last 7 at home
2W
2D
3L
1.14
points a game
1.57
scored a game
1.71
conceded a game
AFC Telford United
last 6 away from home
1W
2D
3L
0.83
points a game
1.17
scored a game
1.83
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
10 matches.
| Chorley | AFC Telford United | |
|---|---|---|
| 90% 9/10 | Over 1.5 goals | 6/10 60% |
| 60% 6/10 | Over 2.5 goals | 5/10 50% |
| 40% 4/10 | Over 3.5 goals | 3/10 30% |
| 60% 6/10 | Both teams scored | 6/10 60% |
| 20% 2/10 | Kept a clean sheet | 3/10 30% |
| 20% 2/10 | Failed to score | 2/10 20% |
At half time
Chorley
from 10 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
50%
Level
20%
Behind
30%
AFC Telford United
from 10 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
0%
Level
60%
Behind
40%
League standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 |
Chorley |
14 | 6 | 2 | 6 | 0 | 20 |
| 15 |
AFC Telford United |
15 | 5 | 4 | 6 | -5 | 19 |
Match Preview & Analysis
Chorley face AFC Telford United in National League - North. Chorley have won 3, drawn 0 and lost 2 of their last 5 games, scoring 10 and conceding 9 (1.8 points per game). AFC Telford United have won 2, drawn 2 and lost 1 of their last 5 games, scoring 6 and conceding 7 (1.6 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 50% and Both Teams to Score at 50%.
With a 67% probability backing Chorley, home advantage and superior chance creation make Chorley to Win (1) the primary recommendation. Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 2-0, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 67% win probability for Chorley, a 19% chance of a draw, and a 14% probability for AFC Telford United. Our top recommended betting pick is Chorley Win (1).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 2 - 0, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 3.12 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 50%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Saturday, 10 Oct 2026 at 14:00 (East Africa Time) at Victory Park as part of the National League - North.
