National League - South · Saturday, 10 Oct 2026
Chesham United
Home
0-5
Full time
The Meadow
Chelmsford City
Away
Recommended tip
Draw @ 2.29
Predicted score
1 - 1
Goal expectancy (xG)
1.56 - 1.31
Win probability
Home
36%
Draw
27%
Away
37%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
X
41%
2.29
Double Chance
Draw/Away
65%
1.45
Over / Under 2.5
No tip for this market.
Both Teams To Score
No tip for this market.
Over 1.5 Goals
Over 1.5
63%
1.49
Goals & trends
50%
Over 2.5
50%
BTTS
63%
Over 1.5
2.87
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Chesham United wins
0
Draws
0
Chelmsford City wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
60%
Recent form
60%
95%
Attack
53%
26%
Defence
66%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
36%
Win probability
37%
Home and away record
Chesham United
last 5 at home
3W
1D
1L
2.00
points a game
3.20
scored a game
1.80
conceded a game
Chelmsford City
last 8 away from home
3W
5D
0L
1.75
points a game
1.63
scored a game
1.00
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
10 matches.
| Chesham United | Chelmsford City | |
|---|---|---|
| 90% 9/10 | Over 1.5 goals | 7/10 70% |
| 80% 8/10 | Over 2.5 goals | 1/10 10% |
| 70% 7/10 | Over 3.5 goals | 1/10 10% |
| 70% 7/10 | Both teams scored | 6/10 60% |
| 20% 2/10 | Kept a clean sheet | 4/10 40% |
| 10% 1/10 | Failed to score | 1/10 10% |
At half time
Chesham United
from 10 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
50%
Level
20%
Behind
30%
Chelmsford City
from 10 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
40%
Level
60%
Behind
0%
League standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 |
Chelmsford City |
14 | 4 | 9 | 1 | +7 | 21 |
| 21 |
Chesham United |
14 | 3 | 2 | 9 | -12 | 11 |
Match Preview & Analysis
Chesham United face Chelmsford City in National League - South. Chesham United have won 3, drawn 0 and lost 2 of their last 5 games, scoring 17 and conceding 11 (1.8 points per game). Chelmsford City have won 2, drawn 3 and lost 0 of their last 5 games, scoring 8 and conceding 5 (1.8 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 50% and Both Teams to Score at 50%.
With evenly matched metrics (36% vs 37%), tactical discipline from both sides favors a tightly fought stalemate (Match Draw (X)). Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 1-1, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 36% win probability for Chesham United, a 27% chance of a draw, and a 37% probability for Chelmsford City. Our top recommended betting pick is Draw (X).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 1 - 1, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 2.87 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 50%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Saturday, 10 Oct 2026 at 14:00 (East Africa Time) at The Meadow as part of the National League - South.
