Non League Premier - Isthmian · Saturday, 10 Oct 2026
Burgess Hill Town
Home
1-1
Full time
Venue TBC
Aveley
Away
Recommended tip
Home Win @ 1.57
Predicted score
2 - 0
Goal expectancy (xG)
2.36 - 0.81
Win probability
Home
69%
Draw
17%
Away
14%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
1
60%
1.57
Double Chance
No tip for this market.
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
64%
1.47
Both Teams To Score
No tip for this market.
Over 1.5 Goals
Over 1.5
73%
1.29
Goals & trends
64%
Over 2.5
50%
BTTS
73%
Over 1.5
3.17
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Burgess Hill Town wins
0
Draws
0
Aveley wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
53%
Recent form
5%
66%
Attack
46%
60%
Defence
13%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
69%
Win probability
14%
Home and away record
Burgess Hill Town
last 6 at home
3W
3D
0L
2.00
points a game
2.17
scored a game
1.00
conceded a game
Aveley
last 8 away from home
4W
0D
4L
1.50
points a game
2.13
scored a game
1.50
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
10 matches.
| Burgess Hill Town | Aveley | |
|---|---|---|
| 90% 9/10 | Over 1.5 goals | 10/10 100% |
| 70% 7/10 | Over 2.5 goals | 7/10 70% |
| 40% 4/10 | Over 3.5 goals | 5/10 50% |
| 80% 8/10 | Both teams scored | 7/10 70% |
| 20% 2/10 | Kept a clean sheet | 1/10 10% |
| 10% 1/10 | Failed to score | 2/10 20% |
At half time
Burgess Hill Town
from 10 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
40%
Level
40%
Behind
20%
Aveley
from 10 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
40%
Level
30%
Behind
30%
League standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 |
Burgess Hill Town |
16 | 5 | 7 | 4 | -2 | 22 |
| 15 |
Aveley |
16 | 6 | 2 | 8 | -3 | 20 |
Match Preview & Analysis
Burgess Hill Town face Aveley in Non League Premier - Isthmian. Burgess Hill Town have won 2, drawn 2 and lost 1 of their last 5 games, scoring 10 and conceding 6 (1.6 points per game). Aveley have won 0, drawn 0 and lost 5 of their last 5 games, scoring 7 and conceding 13 (0 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 64% and Both Teams to Score at 50%.
With a 69% probability backing Burgess Hill Town, home advantage and superior chance creation make Burgess Hill Town to Win (1) the primary recommendation. Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 2-0, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 69% win probability for Burgess Hill Town, a 17% chance of a draw, and a 14% probability for Aveley. Our top recommended betting pick is Burgess Hill Town Win (1).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 2 - 0, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 3.17 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 50%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Saturday, 10 Oct 2026 at 14:00 (East Africa Time) at home stadium as part of the Non League Premier - Isthmian.
